Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+102) New York (-122)

The Miami Marlins (62-71) are hitting the road to Citi Field on Saturday where they will try to beat the New York Mets (72-61). The line on this contest has Miami at +102 while New York is at -122. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Edward Cabrera and David Peterson.

The Marlins have accumulated 218 doubles as a unit and have knocked 128 balls out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging rate of .393 and have been called out on strikes 1,041 times, while being walked on 398 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 19th in the league. They have compiled 542 RBI's and 1,131 base knocks for the season, and their batting average is .249. They have earned 567 runs scored and have an OBP of .313.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 4.58 so far this season (25th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,047 batters. Marlins pitchers have allowed 149 long balls and also 650 runs in total (24th in MLB). They have walked 417 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.21 as a team on the season. Miami has given up 1,119 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 601 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.51 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 103 times in addition to having 145 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 71 holds so far this season (20th in MLB). The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 62.7% and have entered the game in 123 save situations. They have accumulated 32 saves so far this year and have missed out on 19 of their 51 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 runners this year with 32.5% of those players crossed home plate. The Marlins have sent 410 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a total of 3,544 putouts for the season, as well as 1,139 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 17th in the majors, and they have turned 91 double plays. The Marlins have transformed 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 10,632 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 14th in professional baseball.

Cabrera (24-29 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.96 and he has faced 1,784 hitters in the majors. He has given up 334 base knocks (7.2 hits per nine innings) with 209 free passes. His ERA is 4.02 (187 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.298. Cabrera has taken the hill for 418 frames and is sitting with 464 K's so far in his career.

The Mets hold a team slugging % of .424 and they have an average of 4.65 runs per contest (10th in MLB). They have hit 217 two-baggers, while taking a walk 466 times as well as putting up 618 runs. New York has compiled 177 long balls so far this year and 603 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,065 occasions (21st in MLB) and have totaled 1,110 base knocks. The New York Mets are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .249 this year.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.306 and have a FIP of 3.86 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They are sitting at 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,070. The New York pitching staff have allowed 554 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.80 (497 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (1,141 strikeouts vs 469 free passes). They have relinquished 119 homers and they relinquish 4.23 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

New York has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 59 save opportunities and they have tallied 36 saves. They rank 21st in the league holding a save percentage of 61.0%, and they have dispatched 434 relievers onto the field this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 161 times in high leverage situations and also on 141 occasions with base runners. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.4% of 209 inherited runners. With 143 save situations, the Mets have earned 84 holds in addition to 23 blown saves.

In their 10,602 innings on the field, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (20th in baseball). The New York Mets have turned 98 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in MLB). The Mets have racked up 1,199 assists, 60 errors and have a total of 3,534 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Peterson has allowed 560 base knocks and he has 599 K's in 604 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 259 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.344 and having a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 and he has gone up against 2,573 batters in his pro baseball career. Peterson (36-29 career win-loss mark) has a 3.86 ERA while allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+102)

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