New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 7/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) San Francisco (+162)

The San Francisco Giants (54-49) are welcoming the New York Mets (59-44) at Oracle Park on Sunday. The line on this matchup has New York at -196 while San Francisco is at +162. The total is 8. The men taking the mound are Kodai Senga and Landen Roupp.

As a team, the New York Mets are compiling 4.4 runs per contest, which ranks them 15th in the league. They have a total of 451 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. The Mets have accumulated 159 doubles as a team and have knocked 130 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 439 RBI's and 830 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average comes in at .242. New York has a slugging percentage of .411 and have struck out 816 times, while taking a walk on 357 occasions.

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The Mets hold a team earned run average of 3.57 on the campaign (3rd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 881 hitters. Mets pitchers have conceded 90 home runs in addition to 406 total runs (6th in baseball). They have walked 371 batters and their FIP sits at 3.81 as a team on the year. New York has conceded 816 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 363 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.37 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Mets have dispatched 331 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 171 base runners on the campaign with 33.3% of those runners ended up scoring. They have compiled 32 saves this year and have blown 18 of their 50 chances to get a save. The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 64.0% and have come into the game in 117 save situations. The relievers have racked up 67 holds for the year (8th in the league). Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 114 times and also have had 125 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have converted 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,229 innings, which has them ranked 15th in baseball. The Minnesota Twins have a tally of 2,743 putouts on the year, in addition to 936 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them ranked 11th in MLB, and they have turned 80 double plays.

Senga (20-10 career record) holds a FIP of 2.57 while he has gone up against 1,041 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 187 hits (6.7 hits per nine innings) and has 114 walks. His earned run average is 2.61 (73 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.197. Senga has thrown 251 innings and has racked up 290 K's so far in his MLB career.

The Giants have a team SLG% of .376 and they are recording 4.18 runs per contest (21st in MLB). They have tallied 158 doubles, while walking 357 times as well as scoring 431 runs. San Francisco has a total of 98 home runs on the year to go along with 411 RBIs. They have been rung up on 874 occasions (13th in the league) and are sitting with 789 base knocks. The San Francisco Giants have recorded an OBP of .311 as well as a batting average of .233 over the course of the season.

The Giants have a team WHIP of 1.270 in addition to having a FIP of 3.63 as a team this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (873 strikeouts vs 328 free passes). They rank 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 827. They have given up 88 long balls and they yield 4.08 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The San Francisco pitching staff have surrendered 412 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.60 (364 earned runs given up).

San Francisco bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.2% of 117 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 114 times in high leverage situations and on 72 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 106 save situations, the Giants have tallied 66 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They rank 12th in MLB with a save rate of 65.0%, and they have sent 323 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. San Francisco has had relievers take the mound in 40 save chances and they have come away with 26 saves.

In 8,187 innings on the field, the Giants have a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in pro baseball). The San Francisco Giants have turned 76 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in pro baseball). The Giants have racked up 959 assists, 59 errors and have earned a total of 2,729 putouts so far this year.

Roupp (8-8 career mark) has a 3.27 earned run average and has conceded 8.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.09 and he has gone up against 664 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 55 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.415 and a FIP of 3.2. In his career, Roupp has allowed 146 base hits while he has earned 142 strikeouts in 151 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-196)

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