San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, May 20, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-128) Toronto (+106)

The San Diego Padres (27-18) are on their way to Rogers Centre on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Toronto Blue Jays (22-24). The odds on this game have San Diego at -128 and Toronto is priced at +106. The over/under is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Dylan Cease and Chris Bassitt.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in baseball. They have 199 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .328. The Padres have hit 66 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 41 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 181 RBI's in addition to 391 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate is .261. San Diego has a slugging % of .396 and have been rung up 308 times, while drawing a walk on 144 occasions.

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The Padres have a team earned run average of 3.39 for the year (8th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 398 batters. Padres pitchers have conceded 46 long balls and 161 runs (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 147 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.80 as a unit for the year. San Diego has yielded 319 base knocks (7.2 per 9 innings) as well as 150 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.17.

The Padres relievers have a save rate of 80.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 54 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 62 runners over the course of the season and 35.5% of those players earned a run for their team. Padres pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 42 times as well as having 57 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 156 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have racked up 33 holds for the year (6th in the league). They have accumulated 16 saves for the year and have blown 4 out of their 20 save chances.

The San Diego Padres have accounted for 1,193 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 322 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which ranks 16th in professional baseball, and they have turned 33 double plays. The Padres have turned 72.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,579 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 5th in baseball.

Cease has thrown 894 innings and has accounted for 1,074 strikeouts during his career. Cease (58-48 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.74 while he has gone up against 3,785 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.79 (377 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.257. He has surrendered 747 base knocks (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 377 free passes.

The Toronto Blue Jays hold a team on-base percentage of .318 in addition to a team batting average of .249 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 343 occasions (28th in the league) and have tallied 385 base hits. Toronto has hit 40 HRs this season to go along with 173 runs batted in. The Blue Jays have a team SLG% of .380 and they average 3.89 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have 80 doubles, while taking a walk 147 times and scoring 179 runs.

The Blue Jays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.248 and have a FIP of 4.36 as a staff for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (424 strikeouts vs 139 walks). They come in at 15th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 374. They have yielded 68 home runs and they surrender 4.53 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 207 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.31 (197 earned runs yielded).

Toronto relievers hold an inherited score rate of 20.8% out of their 72 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 43 times in high leverage situations in addition to 53 occasions with runners on. With 48 save situations, the Blue Jays have amassed 25 holds and also 9 blown saves. They sit at 22nd in baseball holding a save percentage of 60.9%, and they have sent 158 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season. Toronto has called on relievers to take the mound in 23 save opportunities and they have tallied 14 saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 31 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in the majors). The Blue Jays have racked up 356 assists, 22 errors and have accounted for 1,235 putouts during this campaign. In their 3,705 innings on the field, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (13th in baseball).

So far in his career, Bassitt has given up 1,065 hits while accumulating 1,080 punch outs in 1,159 frames. Bassitt (75-58 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.57 ERA and has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 460 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.235 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.94 and he has gone up against 4,895 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+106)

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