Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 10/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, October 19, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+102) Toronto (-122)

Rogers Centre is where the Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) will take on the Seattle Mariners (90-72) on Sunday in Game 6 of the ALCS. The moneyline on this contest has Seattle at +102 and Toronto is priced at -122. The over/under is set at 7. The starting pitchers are Logan Gilbert and Trey Yesavage.

As a team, the Seattle Mariners are scoring 4.7 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 10th in MLB. They have accounted for 766 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .320. The Mariners have hit 234 two-baggers as a team and have hit 238 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 734 RBI's as well as 1,345 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average is sitting at .244. Seattle has a slugging percentage of .420 and have struck out 1,446 times, while drawing a walk on 544 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.14 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.22. Mariners pitchers have given up 192 home runs and 694 runs in total (17th in baseball). Seattle has given up 1,331 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 629 earned runs. The Mariners have a team earned run average of 3.87 on the season (13th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,426 batters. They have walked 454 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.98 as a team so far this season.

Mariners relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 132 times as well as having 216 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 90 holds on the campaign (13th in the league). The Mariners bullpen have compiled a save rate of 62.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 159 save situations. They have compiled 43 saves this season and have blown 26 out of their 69 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 147 base runners on the campaign and 25.2% of those players crossed the plate. The Mariners have sent 550 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Mariners have turned 70.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 13,164 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 12th in MLB. The San Francisco Giants have 4,388 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,355 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which is 7th in MLB, and they have turned 118 double plays.

Gilbert has thrown 835 frames and has totaled 884 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.58 (332 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.059. He has surrendered 703 base hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 181 walks. Gilbert (47-36 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.52 and he has faced 3,377 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for an on-base percentage of .333 as well as a team batting average of .265 on the campaign. They have struck out on 1,099 occasions (29th in MLB) and have earned 1,461 base hits. Toronto has 191 home runs for the year to go along with 771 RBIs. The Blue Jays hold a slugging % of .427 and they are scoring 4.93 runs per contest (4th in baseball). They have 294 doubles, while walking 520 times and scoring 798 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 721 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.18 (668 earned runs given up). They have allowed 209 HR's and they relinquish 4.51 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.273 with a FIP of 4.27 as a squad on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.90 (1,430 strikeouts against 517 bases on balls). They come in at 14th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,313.

Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.6% out of 254 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 156 times in high leverage situations and also on 178 occasions with base runners. With 168 save situations, the Blue Jays have amassed 96 holds and 23 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in the league with a save rate of 64.6%, and they have dispatched 570 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Toronto has had relievers enter the game in 65 save opportunities and they have come away with 42 saves.

In their 12,942 innings played, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 118 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB). The Blue Jays have recorded 1,272 assists, 86 errors and have a total of 4,314 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his MLB career, Yesavage has surrendered 13 base knocks and he has 16 strikeouts in 14 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 5 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.429 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.29 and he has gone up against 62 hitters so far in his MLB career. Yesavage (1-0 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.21 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (-122) and under 8 runs

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