St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+125) Cincinnati (-145)

The St. Louis Cardinals (12-17) are traveling to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday where they will take on the Cincinnati Reds (16-13). The moneyline on this contest has St. Louis at +125 and Cincinnati is opening at -145. The over/under is 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Steven Matz and Andrew Abbott.

The Cardinals have recorded 61 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 24 baseballs out of the park. St. Louis has a slugging percentage of .397 and have struck out 228 times, while taking a walk on 102 occasions. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.5 runs per outing, which is 12th in baseball. They have amassed 124 RBI's and 264 hits so far this year, and their batting average sits at .263. They have accumulated 131 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .333.

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The Cardinals have an earned run average of 4.33 over the course of the season (21st in the league), and the staff has struck out 197 hitters. Cardinals pitchers have conceded 24 home runs in addition to 135 runs in total (22nd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 89 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.86 as a squad so far this season. St. Louis has surrendered 235 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 124 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.21 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26.

Cardinals bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 32 times and also have had 41 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 19 holds for the year (12th in the league). The Cardinals bullpen have a save rate of 46.2% and have come into the game in 32 save situations. They have accumulated 6 saves so far this year and have blown 7 of their 13 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 36 base runners on the season with 44.4% of those runners ended up scoring. The Cardinals have sent 95 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Cardinals have transformed 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,319 innings on the diamond, ranking them 7th in the majors. The St. Louis Cardinals are sitting with 773 putouts so far this season, as well as 295 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which has them ranked 3rd in professional baseball, and have earned 19 double plays.

Matz has taken the ball for 947 frames and has earned 895 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.24 (446 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.318. He has conceded 965 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) with 283 free passes. Matz (57-60 career record) has a FIP of 4.17 while he has faced 4,053 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .334 as well as a team batting average of .254 for the season. They have been rung up on 247 occasions (9th in MLB) and have earned 250 base hits. Cincinnati has recorded 33 HRs over the course of the season as well as 147 RBIs. The Reds have a SLG% of .408 and they are earning 5.28 runs per outing (4th in MLB). They have 48 two-baggers, while walking 108 times as well as earning 153 runs.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.089 with a FIP of 4.12 as a team on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (235 strikeouts against 83 walks). They sit at 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 196. They have relinquished 36 dingers and they surrender 3.87 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 110 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.37 (96 earned runs relinquished).

With 40 save situations, the Reds have tallied 25 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relievers to take the mound in 14 save chances and they have tallied 10 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 29 times in high leverage situations in addition to 22 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 20.6% out of 34 inherited runners. They sit at 9th in MLB holding a save rate of 71.4%, and they have sent 95 relievers to the hill this year.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 13 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in professional baseball). The Reds have 206 assists, 17 errors and have accounted for 769 putouts this year. In their 2,307 innings on the diamond, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 75.0% (1st in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Abbott has allowed 236 base knocks while totaling 254 punch outs in 262 innings. Abbott (20-16 career win-loss record) has a 3.78 earned run average while conceding 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 110 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.297 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.44 and he has faced 1,106 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis (+125)

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