Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, July 26, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+106) Cincinnati (-128)

Great American Ball Park is the location where the Cincinnati Reds (53-50) will attempt to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (53-50) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rays at +106 and the Reds are sitting at -128. The betting total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Ryan Pepiot and Andrew Abbott.

The Rays have recorded 158 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 113 baseballs out of the park. Tampa Bay owns a slugging percentage of .406 and have struck out 851 times, while being walked on 314 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are earning 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 8th in the league. They have amassed 453 RBI's and 895 hits for the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .258. They have racked up 483 runs scored and hold an OBP of .322.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.98 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20. Rays pitchers have given up 135 home runs in addition to 419 runs (11th in the league). Tampa Bay has surrendered 815 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and 392 earned runs. The Rays are sitting with a team ERA of 3.85 for the year (12th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 854 batters. They have walked 287 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a team so far this year.

Rays pitchers have entered the game with players on base 73 times and also have had 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 57 holds on the campaign (15th in MLB). The Rays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 57.5% and have come into the game in 98 save situations. They have tallied 23 saves on the season and have blown 17 of 40 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 108 runners on the campaign and 36.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Rays have dispatched 320 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Rays have converted 71.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,250 innings, which has them sitting 4th in MLB. The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 2,750 putouts on the campaign, as well as 931 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which ranks 9th in MLB, and they have turned 100 double plays.

Pepiot has taken the mound for 328 innings and has 340 strikeouts during his MLB career. Pepiot (19-17 career mark) has a FIP of 3.35 while he has gone up against 1,345 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.40 (124 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.140. He has given up 256 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has 118 free passes.

Cincinnati has 107 long balls on the season and 441 runs batted in. They have put up 163 doubles, while taking a walk 341 times as well as putting up 470 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have recorded an on-base percentage of .319 and a batting average of .246 on the year. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .394 and they score 4.56 runs per game (12th in the league). They have been rung up on 881 occasions (10th in the league) and have accounted for 850 hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 435 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.91 (395 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 118 long balls and they give up 4.31 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.245 in addition to having a FIP of 4.14 as a squad for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (837 strikeouts vs 323 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 8th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 808.

Sitting with 100 save situations, the Reds have 63 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 35 save opportunities and they have walked away with 24 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 88 times in high leverage situations and on 85 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.3% out of 134 inherited base runners. They are ranked 8th in baseball holding a save percentage of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 346 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

In 8,178 innings played, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (6th in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 59 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (19th in the majors). The Reds have recorded 779 assists, 51 errors and have 2,726 putouts over the course of the season.

During his MLB career, Abbott has conceded 308 base hits and he has 322 punch outs in 344 frames. He has allowed 127 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.246 and having a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.66 and he has faced 1,439 batters during his career. Abbott (26-17 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.32 ERA and has surrendered 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-128)

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