Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+172) New York (-210)

The Washington Nationals (62-91) are traveling to Citi Field on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Mets (78-74). The odds on this game have the Nationals at +172 while the Mets are sitting at -210. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Cade Cavalli and Nolan McLean.

Washington has a slugging % of .386 and have struck out 1,253 times, while drawing a walk on 425 occasions. They have accrued 621 RBI's and 1,243 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .243. The Nationals have earned 249 two-baggers as a team and have hit 143 balls out of the stadium. They are sitting with 647 runs scored and have an OBP of .306. As a squad, the Washington Nationals are knocking in 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 25th in the league.

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The Nationals have a team earned run average of 5.33 over the course of the season (29th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,166 hitters. Nationals pitchers have yielded 198 long balls and 842 total runs (29th in the league). They have walked 533 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.70 as a unit on the year. Washington has relinquished 1,401 base hits (9.4 per 9 innings) as well as 796 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.19 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.44.

Nationals pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 151 times as well as having 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 69 holds over the course of the season (25th in the league). The Nationals relievers have accumulated a save rate of 64.7% and have come into the game in 121 save situations. They have tallied 33 saves so far this year and have missed out on 18 of 51 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 254 base runners this season and 40.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Nationals have dispatched 545 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Nationals have turned 68.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,090 innings, which has them sitting 28th in pro baseball. The Washington Nationals have earned a total of 4,030 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,318 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which ranks 22nd in baseball, and they have turned 125 double plays.

Cavalli (3-2 career mark) sits with a FIP of 5.73 while he has faced 200 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 51 base knocks (10.6 hits per nine innings) with 15 walks. His earned run average is 5.82 (28 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.524. Cavalli has taken the hill for 43 frames and has 37 punch outs during his career.

The New York Mets have earned an OBP of .327 in addition to a team batting average of .250 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,239 instances (22nd in MLB) and have tallied 1,276 base hits. New York has hit 211 long balls for the year and 698 runs batted in. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .429 and they score 4.71 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have put up 247 doubles, while taking a walk 529 times and putting up 716 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.337 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.94 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They come in at 17th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,262. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 668 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.03 (601 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (1,295 strikeouts vs 534 walks). They have given up 140 homers and they relinquish 4.48 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.7% out of 242 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 178 times in high leverage situations and also on 162 occasions with base runners. With 157 save situations, the Mets have 92 holds and also 27 blown saves. They rank 23rd in the league with a save rate of 58.5%, and they have dispatched 495 relievers to the mound for the season. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 65 save opportunities and they have come away with 38 saves.

In 12,087 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (24th in professional baseball). The New York Mets have turned 115 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in MLB). The Mets have 1,374 assists, 70 errors and have a total of 4,029 putouts so far this year.

During his MLB career, McLean has given up 25 hits while tallying 40 punch outs in 37 frames. He has given up 5 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.995 and a FIP of 1.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.33 and he has faced 143 batters thus far in his career. McLean (4-1 career mark) has a 1.21 ERA while surrendering 6.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+172)

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