Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 8/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Monday, August 17, 2026

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-160) Minnesota (+132)

The Minnesota Twins (60-64) will go up against the Atlanta Braves (73-50) at Target Field on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has Atlanta at -160 while Minnesota is coming in at +132. The total is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Martin Perez and Bailey Ober.

Atlanta is slugging .418 and have struck out 990 times, while taking a walk on 359 occasions. They have 570 runs batted in in addition to 1,030 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is at .247. The Braves have hit 196 doubles as a team and have hit 165 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 594 runs and have an OBP of .312. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 4.8 runs per game, which has them at 6th in the league.

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The Braves have an earned run average of 3.64 for the season (5th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,059 batters. Braves pitchers have given up 142 long balls and also 479 total runs (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 424 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.11 as a team over the course of the season. Atlanta has surrendered 937 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) and 443 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.50 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Braves pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 90 times and also have had 137 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 89 holds this year (3rd in MLB). The Braves relievers have a save percentage of 69.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 146 save situations. They have accumulated 37 saves so far this season and have missed out on 16 out of their 53 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 129 base runners this season and 21.7% of those runners crossing home plate. The Braves have dispatched 393 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Atlanta Braves have a total of 3,285 putouts so far this season, in addition to 996 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which ranks 11th in MLB, and have accumulated 100 double plays. The Braves have transformed 71.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,855 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 4th in MLB.

Perez has thrown 1,737 innings and has tallied 1,233 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 4.33 (835 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.417. He has conceded 1,829 base hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) with 633 walks. Perez (99-99 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.26 while he has gone up against 7,500 hitters in the major leagues.

The Minnesota Twins hold an on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a batting average of .245 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,012 occasions (18th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,025 base hits. Minnesota has accounted for 144 long balls for the season as well as 545 RBIs. The Twins hold a team SLG% of .406 and they tally 4.62 runs per game (10th in the league). They have tallied 204 doubles, while getting a free base 407 times and scoring 573 runs.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.386 in addition to having a FIP of 4.34 as a squad for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (1,022 strikeouts vs 455 walks). They sit at 25th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,062. They have conceded 145 dingers and they concede 5.09 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have yielded 619 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.66 (566 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 127 save situations, the Twins have amassed 78 holds and 12 blown saves. Minnesota has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 46 save chances and they have converted 34 saves. Minnesota relievers hold an inherited score rate of 36.4% out of their 173 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 131 times in high leverage situations and on 119 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save percentage of 73.9%, and they have dispatched 410 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year.

In their 9,852 innings on the field, the Twins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (25th in pro baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 86 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in pro baseball). The Twins have accrued 945 assists, 58 errors and are sitting with 3,284 putouts so far this year.

So far in his career, Ober has allowed 657 hits while accumulating 671 K's in 716 innings. Ober (38-34 mark in his career) has a 4.16 ERA while surrendering 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has given up 331 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.138 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.25 and he has gone up against 2,931 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+132)

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