Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 3/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+125) Miami (-145)

The Colorado Rockies (43-119 last year) are en route to LoanDepot Park on Saturday where they will take on the Miami Marlins (79-83 last season). The moneyline on this game has Colorado at +125 and Miami opens at -145. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Michael Lorenzen and Eury Perez.

As a team, the Colorado Rockies put up 3.7 runs per outing, which put them at 29th in the league. They had 597 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .293. The Rockies tallied 253 two-baggers as a squad and knocked 160 balls out of the stadium. They had 581 RBI's in addition to 1,282 hits for the previous season, while their average at the plate was .237. Colorado had a slugging rate of .386 and were rung up 1,531 times, while drawing a walk on 395 occasions.

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The Rockies had a team earned run average of 5.97 in the previous season (30th in the league), and the staff rung up 1,093 hitters. Rockies pitchers conceded 251 home runs in addition to 1,021 runs (30th in baseball). They walked 554 opposing players and their FIP finished at 5.24 as a team over the course of last season. Colorado allowed 1,673 base hits (10.7 per 9 innings) as well as 933 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 1.97 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.58.

Rockies relief pitchers stepped onto the hill with runners on 161 times as well as having 139 games in high leverage situations. The relievers had 61 holds over the course of the prior season (30th in MLB). The Rockies bullpen earned a save percentage of 53.7% and entered the game in 115 save situations. They tallied 29 saves in the previous season and did not convert 25 out of their 54 chances to get a save. The bullpen inherited 278 base runners for the previous season and 35.3% of those runners ended up scoring. The Rockies sent 531 relievers to the mound last season.

The Rockies turned 66.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,666 innings, which had them sitting 30th in professional baseball. The Cleveland Guardians earned a total of 4,222 putouts in the prior season, in addition to 1,465 assists and 110 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .983 which put them in 27th in pro baseball, and had a total of 156 double plays.

Lorenzen (54-55 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.03 while he has gone up against 4,214 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 921 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 387 free passes. His earned run average is 4.09 (452 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.314. Lorenzen has taken the mound for 995 frames and is sitting with 826 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Miami Marlins recorded a team OBP of .314 and a batting average of .250 in the prior season. They struck out on 1,247 occasions (27th in baseball) and totaled 1,388 hits. Miami recorded 154 HRs last season in addition to 677 RBIs. The Marlins held a slugging % of .393 and they had an average of 4.38 runs per contest (16th in the league). They hit 272 doubles, while walking 482 times and racking up 709 runs.

The Marlins finished with a team WHIP of 1.305 in addition to having a FIP of 4.34 as a staff last year. Their K/BB ratio was 8.10 (1,294 strikeouts against 507 free passes). They finished at 22nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,376. They surrendered 199 homers and they surrender 4.98 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff given up 798 runs during the previous year while holding a team ERA of 4.60 (737 earned runs surrendered).

Miami relievers held an inherited score rate of 30.5% out of 190 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound 169 times in high leverage situations and also on 133 occasions with runners on. Ending the season with 149 save situations, the Marlins had 85 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. They were ranked 15th in baseball holding a save rate of 64.5%, and they sent 515 bullpen pitchers onto the field last season. Miami called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 62 save opportunities and they tallied 40 saves.

The Miami Marlins turned 107 double plays and earned a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in baseball). The Marlins accrued 1,383 assists, 85 errors and earned 4,330 putouts during the previous year. In 12,990 innings on the field, the Marlins held a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (15th in baseball).

In his MLB career, Perez has conceded 140 base knocks while accumulating 213 punch outs in 186 innings. Perez (12-12 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.72 earned run average while allowing 6.8 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 77 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.090 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.38 and he has gone up against 759 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-145)

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