Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 3/29/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+172) Baltimore (-210)

The Baltimore Orioles (75-87 last year) host the Minnesota Twins (70-92 last season) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday. The line on this contest has Minnesota at +172 while Baltimore is sitting at -210. The betting total comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Bailey Ober and Shane Baz.

As a squad, the Minnesota Twins put up 4.2 runs per game, which ranked them 23rd in the league. They were sitting with 678 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .310. The Twins accumulated 249 two-baggers as a team and knocked 191 baseballs out of the stadium. They tallied 643 runs batted in and 1,295 hits last year, and their average at the plate sat at .238. Minnesota had a slugging rate of .397 and were called out on strikes 1,372 times, while drawing a walk on 495 occasions.

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They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.99 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.31. Twins pitchers yielded 194 long balls and also 773 runs in total (23rd in baseball). Minnesota relinquished 1,411 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 721 earned runs. The Twins finished with a team earned run average of 4.55 for the prior year (24th in MLB), and the staff rung up 1,372 batters. They walked 459 opposing batters and their FIP finished at 4.09 as a squad for the previous season.

The Twins relievers earned a save rate of 52.8% and stepped onto the hill in 150 save situations. The relief pitchers inherited 167 runners over the course of last season and 35.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Twins pitchers came into the game with players on base 117 times and also had 174 games in high leverage situations. The Twins dispatched 543 relievers to the hill last year. The bullpen had a total of 95 holds over the course of the prior season (11th in the league). They earned 28 saves for the previous season and did not convert 25 of their 53 save chances.

The Twins converted 68.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,840 innings, which had them sitting 27th in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers had a tally of 4,280 putouts last season, as well as 1,210 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding rate finished at .987 which was 10th in professional baseball, and accumulated 98 double plays.

Ober has pitched in 617 innings and has racked up 604 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Ober (31-30 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.02 while he has faced 2,516 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.08 (280 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.123. He has given up 560 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 133 free passes.

The Orioles held a team SLG% of .394 and they were earning 4.18 runs per game (24th in MLB). They notched 251 two-baggers, while getting a free base 484 times as well as notching 677 runs. Baltimore accounted for 191 home runs over the course of last season in addition to 643 RBIs. They struck out on 1,457 occasions (4th in MLB) and earned 1,273 hits. The Baltimore Orioles had an on-base percentage of .305 in addition to a team batting average of .235 over the course of last season.

The Orioles held a team WHIP of 1.366 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.41 as a unit last year. They finished at 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,433. The Baltimore pitching staff allowed 788 runs during the previous year while holding a team ERA of 4.61 (733 earned runs given up). They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (1,351 strikeouts vs 523 bases on balls). They gave up 217 long balls and they allowed 4.95 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball).

Baltimore relief pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 27.6% of 214 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers came in 168 times in high leverage situations in addition to 154 occasions with base runners. With 167 save situations, the Orioles had 105 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They ranked 8th in MLB holding a save rate of 65.5%, and they sent 543 relievers to the hill last season. Baltimore had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 58 save opportunities and they came away with 38 saves.

In 12,894 innings played, the Orioles accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (28th in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles turned 121 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Orioles accrued 1,403 assists, 88 errors and earned a total of 4,298 putouts over the course of the prior season.

So far in his MLB career, Baz has surrendered 248 hits while tallying 293 strikeouts in 285 frames. Baz (17-17 career record) is the owner of a 4.26 earned run average and has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 135 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.230 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.84 and he has gone up against 1,196 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+172)

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