New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 3/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-275) San Francisco (+220)

The New York Yankees (94-68 last year) are en route to Oracle Park on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the San Francisco Giants (81-81 last season). The moneyline on this matchup has the Yankees at -275 and the Giants are coming in at +220. The betting total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Will Warren and Tyler Mahle.

New York had a slugging % of .455 and struck out 1,463 times, while drawing a walk on 639 occasions. They compiled 820 runs batted in as well as 1,371 hits last year, while their batting average was .251. The Yankees accrued 255 doubles as a team and hit 274 baseballs out of the park. They accumulated 849 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .332. As a team, the New York Yankees compiled 5.2 runs per game, which ranked them 1st in MLB.

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They accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.59 and their pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.25. Yankees pitchers surrendered 175 long balls and 685 runs (15th in MLB). New York yielded 1,239 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 625 earned runs. The Yankees held a team earned run average of 3.91 last year (14th in baseball), and their staff struck out 1,440 batters. They walked 557 hitters and their FIP was 4.00 as a squad last year.

The Yankees sent 533 relief pitchers to the hill for the previous season. The bullpen inherited 255 base runners last year and 27.5% of those runners crossed the plate. They compiled 43 saves for the prior year and did not convert 21 of 64 save opportunities. The Yankees bullpen accumulated a save percentage of 67.2% and came into the game in 166 save situations. The bullpen finished with 100 holds during the previous year (9th in the league). Yankees pitchers came into the game with players on base 167 times in addition to having 165 games in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets finished with 4,319 putouts in the prior season, in addition to 1,389 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage held at .986 which had them sitting 13th in baseball, and they turned 105 double plays. The Yankees transformed 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of 12,957 innings, which ranked them 6th in professional baseball.

Warren has taken the ball for 184 innings and has racked up 200 strikeouts thus far in his career. Warren (9-11 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 5.10 while he has faced 821 batters in the majors. His ERA is 5.18 (106 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.443. He has given up 191 base hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) with 75 walks.

The San Francisco Giants had an on-base percentage of .311 and a batting average of .235 in the previous season. They were rung up on 1,380 instances (12th in the league) and totaled 1,261 base hits. San Francisco knocked in 173 HRs in the prior season to go along with 672 runs batted in. The Giants held a team slugging % of .386 and they were recording 4.35 runs per game (17th in the league). They put up 239 doubles, while walking 556 times and putting up 705 runs.

The Giants had a WHIP of 1.298 with a FIP of 3.74 as a staff in the prior season. They ranked 21st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,354. The San Francisco pitching staff relinquished 684 runs in the previous season while having a team ERA of 3.84 (612 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio was 8.50 (1,358 strikeouts vs 506 walks). They gave up 143 long balls and they surrendered 4.30 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

Finishing with 152 save situations, the Giants accrued 89 holds and 22 blown saves. San Francisco called on relievers to take the mound in 63 save chances and they tallied 41 saves. Their relief pitchers came in 173 times in high leverage situations and on 122 occasions with runners on. San Francisco bullpen pitchers had an inherited score rate of 36.8% of 193 inherited base runners. They were sitting at 10th in the league with a save rate of 65.1%, and they sent 515 relief pitchers onto the diamond last year.

In their 12,903 innings played, the Giants held a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (26th in the majors). The San Francisco Giants had 134 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (23rd in baseball). The Giants racked up 1,523 assists, 95 errors and notched a total of 4,301 putouts for the prior year.

So far in his MLB career, Mahle has given up 681 base knocks while accumulating 753 strikeouts in 734 innings pitched. He has allowed 332 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.287 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.85 and he has gone up against 3,122 hitters so far in his MLB career. Mahle (39-46 record in his career) has earned a 4.07 earned run average while conceding 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Francisco (+220)

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