BC Lions vs Toronto Argonauts Prediction, 10/3/2026 CFL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: BC Lions vs Toronto Argonauts

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: BMO Field in Toronto, ON

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: BC Lions (-1.5)

The Toronto Argonauts (9-6) play the BC Lions (8-6) at BMO Field on Saturday. Toronto opens this game as 1.5-point underdogs. The O/U opens at 65.5. The expected starting quarterbacks are Nathan Rourke and Chad Kelly.

The last time they took the field the Lions played the Roughriders and earned the victory by a score of 31-24. Nathan Rourke went 22/28 with 375 yards through the air and added 4 TD's. He ended the game without an interception. Alexander Horvath led the team on the ground for that contest. He had a long run of 6 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He scurried for 28 yards on 10 carries which meant he was running for 3.0 yards per run. Jevon Cottoy led the team in receiving yardage by earning 96 yards on 9 catches. He had an average of 10.7 yards per catch for that contest.

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Over the course of the season so far, the Lions currently sit at 4,379 yards via the pass as well as an average of 312.8 throwing yards per game, which is ranked 3rd in the league. The BC Lions are averaging 430.4 yards per contest which is good for 1st in the CFL. They have an average of 117.6 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,646 yards for this year. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Lions are sitting 4th in the league scoring 30.6 PPG.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Lions have surrendered 4,003 yards which has them sitting in 3rd in the league. Over the course of this year, they have yielded 346.5 yards per game which has them ranked 1st in the league. The Lions sit in 3rd in the league concerning team defense, allowing 27.2 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per attempt on the ground and 60.6 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. Over the course of their 14 games, they have allowed 285.9 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 69.3%. In total, they have given up 848 yards via the ground game in 14 games.

In their last outing the Argonauts played the Blue Bombers and won 30-28. Sam Hicks paced the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 20 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He scurried for 41 yards on 5 carries which gave him an average of 8.2 yards per run. Damonte Coxie was the receiving yardage leader by earning 149 yards on 7 receptions. He earned an average of 21.3 yards per reception for the game. Chad Kelly went 22/31 with 290 yards passing and threw 2 TD's. He gave away 2 picks during the game.

When looking at this team's ability to score points, the Argonauts rank 5th in the league maintaining an average of 29.7 PPG. Over the course of the season to this point, the Argonauts currently sit at 5,119 passing yards together with holding an average of 341.3 throwing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 1st in the CFL. They average 75.3 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,129 yards for this season. The Toronto Argonauts hold an average of 416.5 yards/game which ranks them 3rd in the league.

The Argonauts are allowing 28.7 PPG, which has them sitting 5th in the CFL. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 431 total points. Toronto has allowed a total of 1,552 yards via the ground game (103.5 yards/game) in addition to 19 touchdowns on the ground this year. They have given up 21 touchdowns via the pass and 288.8 yards per contest, which has them in 6th in the CFL.

Who will win tonight's football game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take BC Lions (-1.5)

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