Calgary Stampeders vs Montreal Alouettes Prediction, 7/11/2026 CFL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Calgary Stampeders vs Montreal Alouettes

Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026

Location: Percival-Molson Memorial Stadium in Montreal, QC

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: Calgary Stampeders (+3.5)

Percival-Molson Memorial Stadium is the venue where and the Montreal Alouettes (3-1) will take on the Calgary Stampeders (2-2) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Montreal as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 62.5. The expected starting quarterbacks are Vernon Adams Jr. and Davis Alexander.

In their last outing the Stampeders faced the Argonauts and ended up getting the victory by a score of 58-36. Vernon Adams Jr. went 20/25 with 405 yards through the air and threw 6 TD's. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Dedrick Mills led the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 13 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He racked up a total of 66 yards on 15 carries which meant he was running for 4.4 yards per carry. Tevin Jones was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 139 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 34.8 yards per reception for the game.

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In terms of their ability to score points, the Stampeders currently rank 1st in the league scoring 41.0 points per contest. Over the course of the season to this point, the Stampeders have thrown for a total of 1,075 yards through the air along with holding an average of 268.8 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 7th in the CFL. They are averaging 119.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 476 yards for this season. The Calgary Stampeders are averaging 387.8 yards per contest which ranks them 6th in the league.

When talking about passing yardage, the Stampeders have conceded 1,399 yards which has them ranked 8th in the CFL. In total, they are granting 440.0 yards per game which has them sitting 8th in the CFL. The Stampeders are sitting in 8th in the league in relation to team defense, giving up 34.8 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 4.8 yards per rush and 90.2 rushing yards per game for the year. During their 4 games, they have allowed 349.8 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 68.0%. During this campaign, they have allowed 361 yards via the ground game in 4 games.

The last time they took the field the Alouettes went up against the Redblacks and ended up getting the win by a score of 37-35. Stevie Scott paced the team on the ground for that game. He tore off a long run of 31 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He scurried for 65 yards by way of 10 carries which meant he averaged 6.5 yards per run. Tyson Philpot led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 198 yards on 12 catches. He averaged 16.5 yards per catch for that game. Davis Alexander went 22/30 with 345 yards passing and threw 2 touchdowns. He walked away with no picks.

When it comes to how much they score, the Alouettes sit 3rd in the league with 33.2 PPG. During the season thus far, the Alouettes have racked up 1,454 passing yards as well as holding an average of 363.5 passing yards per outing, which ranks 2nd in the CFL. They average 95.2 yards per game via the rush and have run for 381 yards overall. The Montreal Alouettes have an average of 458.8 yards per outing which ranks them 2nd in the CFL.

Montreal has surrendered a total of 345 yards rushing (86.2 yards/game) in addition to 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. The Alouettes are giving up 31.0 PPG, ranking them 4th in the CFL. Overall, they have allowed 124 total points. They have yielded 7 touchdowns through the air and 318.0 yards per game, which has them sitting 6th in the CFL.

Who will win tonight's football game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Calgary Stampeders (+3.5)

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