Samsung Lions vs Kiwoom Heroes Prediction, 4/4/2021 KBO Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Samsung Lions vs Kiwoom Heroes

Date: Sunday, April 4, 2021

Location: Gocheok Sky Dome in Seoul, South Korea

TV: SPOTV2

Odds/Point Spread: Samsung (+120) Kiwoom (-140)

Eric Jokisch and the Kiwoom Heroes (80-63, 5th in KBO last season) host the Samsung Lions (64-75, 8th in KBO last year) at Gocheok Sky Dome on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Lions priced at +120 and the Heroes are at -140. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are David Buchanan and Eric Jokisch.

As a team last year, the Samsung Lions knocked in 4.9 runs per contest, which had them sitting at 8th in the league. They had a total of 699 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .338. The Lions hit 211 two-baggers as a team and hit 129 baseballs out of the stadium. They recorded 658 runs batted in as well as 1,317 hits last year, while their average at the plate was at .268. Samsung had a slugging rate of .394 and were called out on strikes 990 times, while taking a walk on 486 occasions.

Lions pitchers surrendered 151 home runs and 745 runs in total (4th in the league). They walked 542 opposing players and their FIP came in at 5.27 as a team over the course of the prior season. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.72 and the pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.47. The Lions had a team ERA of 4.78 during the previous year (7th in KBO), and their staff struck out 931 batters.

Buchanan had a FIP of 3.66. David Buchanan conceded 172 base hits in 174.2 innings pitched last season. He allowed 67 earned runs last year and had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.4. He conceded 8.9 H/9 (hits per 9 innings) and his WHIP was at 1.271. His ERA was at 3.45 and he punched out 121 hitters. Buchanan has taken the ball for 1,590 innings and has 987 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.05 (716 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.359. He has given up 1,673 base hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has 488 free passes. Buchanan (96-97 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.47 while he has faced 6,798 batters in baseball.

They had 254 doubles, while walking 608 times as well as putting up 759 runs. The Heroes had a team SLG% of .408 and they scored 5.27 runs per outing (5th in baseball). Kiwoom recorded 127 HRs over the course of last year to go along with 713 runs batted in. They were called out on strikes on 1,030 occasions (3rd in baseball) and earned a total of 1,332 base hits. The Kiwoom Heroes held an on-base percentage of .355 in addition to a team batting average of .269 in the prior season.

The Kiwoom pitching staff surrendered 692 runs last year and come in with a team ERA of 4.39 (624 earned runs conceded). They gave up 126 homers and they yielded 4.86 runs per 9 innings (2nd in KBO). The Heroes had a team WHIP of 1.392 in addition to having a FIP of 4.86 as a pitching staff last year. Their strikeout to walk ratio came in at 2.13 (950 strikeouts against 446 walks). They ranked 8th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,336.

Jokisch earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.6 with 115 total strikeouts. His WHIP was at 1.06 and he held a FIP of 2.99 throughout last year. He took the hill for 159.2 innings last year while giving up 8.1 H/9. Jokisch allowed 144 base knocks while conceding 38 earned runs (2.14 ERA). Jokisch (89-77 career record) has a 3.45 earned run average while conceding 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and he has faced 6,029 hitters so far in his career. He has conceded a total of 550 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.264 and having a FIP of 4.1. In his pro career, Jokisch has allowed 1,412 hits and he has 1,117 K's in 1,436 innings.

Who will win tonight's KBO game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Samsung (+120)

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