Florida State at NC State picks and NCAA Betting Odds
by Dave Schwab - 2/19/2013
The Florida State Seminoles will head to PNC Arena this Tuesday night to play the first of two regular-season contests again the North Carolina State Wolfpack. This ACC battle is set to tip off at 7 p.m. (ET), and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPNU.
The Seminoles come into this matchup with just two straight up wins in their last five games to fall to 14-11 overall and an even 6-6 in ACC play. They are a costly 1-8-1 against the spread in their last 10 games and 9-13-1 ATS overall. The total has gone “over” in their last two games after staying “under” in their previous three.
NC State snapped a three-game skid with back-to-back SU victories over Clemson and Virginia Tech, but it is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games. Overall, the Wolfpack are 18-7 SU and 11-12 ATS. They have gone 7-5 SU in the conference so far, and the total has gone over in five of their last seven games.
Florida State at NC State Betting Storylines
Florida State has not been the same since losing its top rebounder, Terrence Shannon, in late January with a neck injury. It is now ranked in the bottom-third of Division I with an average of just 31.2 rebounds a game. The Seminoles entire defensive effort has fallen off as they are giving up an average of 67.4 points a game.
To counteract this, Florida State will have to rely heavily on its leading scorer Michael Snaer on Tuesday night. He is averaging 14 points a game but connecting on just 41.4 percent of his shots from the field. The only other player scoring in double figures is Okaro White with 12.2 points a game. Overall, the Seminoles are averaging 67.3 points a game and shooting 44.1 percent from the field.
The Wolfpack have had their share of ups and downs this season as well, but through it all have remained one of the highest-scoring teams in the country with 78.4 points a game while shooting just below 50 percent from the field. They boast five different players with at least 11 points a game, led by CJ Leslie’s 15.6 point average. Scoot Wood is probably the team’s best pure shooter; hitting 43.7 percent of his attempts from both the floor and from beyond the arc.
Defensively, NC State is another team that gives up a ton of points a game (71.3), and this number actually goes up slightly when it plays at home. It is averaging 36.7 rebounds, and Richard Howell is pulling down almost a third of them with 11 a game. The Wolfpack have given up 80 or more points in four of their last seven games.
Florida St. at NC State NCAA Betting Odds and Trends
The Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a SU win and 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record. The total has stayed under in their last four road games.
The Wolfpack are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a SU win but 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record. The total has gone over in eight of their last 11 games following a SU win.
The road team in this matchup is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings and the total has gone over in six of those games. Florida State has won the last three meetings both SU and ATS.
Florida St. at NC State Picks and Betting Predictions
The recent trends in this contest tend to heavily favor Florida State, but current form does not. NC State is clearly the better all-around team and has the ability to simply run away from the Seminoles on the scoreboard. A play on the “over” could be another way to go in this one depending on the actual line, but the play on the side is clearly with NC State.
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