Buffalo vs Connecticut Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 11/21/2019

Game: Buffalo Bulls vs Connecticut Huskies

Date: Thursday, November 21, 2019

Location: TD Arena in Charleston, SC

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut -2

Total/Over-Under: 151

The Buffalo Bulls head to TD Arena to take on the Connecticut Huskies on Thursday, November 21, 2019. The opening line for this game has Connecticut as 2 point favorites.

Buffalo heads into this matchup with a mark of 2-1. They currently have a point differential of 14.7 as they are averaging 86.7 points per contest while giving up 72.0 per game. Connecticut has an overall record of 2-1. They are averaging 79.3 points per game and surrendering 74.0, good for a point differential of 5.3.

Valuable Buffalo Bulls Betting Trends

The Buffalo Bulls are 1-1-0 against the spread this season

The Buffalo Bulls are 1-1-0 against the over/under this year

Important Connecticut Huskies Betting Trends

The Connecticut Huskies are 2-1-0 against the spread this season

The Connecticut Huskies are 2-1-0 against the over/under this year

Key Buffalo Bulls Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Connecticut Huskies Injuries

11/07/19 G James Bouknight Suspension 3-game suspension (eligible to return 11/21 vs Buffalo)

Player Spotlight

Jayvon Graves comes into this game averaging 16.7 points per contest while playing 30.0 minutes per night this year. He grabs 6.3 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.0 assists per game. His FG percentage is 39% while his free throw percentage is 88%. Ronaldo Segu averages 14.3 points per contest in 26.3 minutes per game. He averages 5.0 assists per game and 2.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 70% for the season while his free throw percentage is 100%.

Player Spotlight

Christian Vital scores 19.3 points per contest while playing 33.7 minutes per game. He hauls in 9.0 rebounds per contest and has 3.3 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 96%. Josh Carlton averages 13.3 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 20.7 minutes per game. He also brings in 8.3 rebounds per game and has 0.3 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 62%.

Useful Team Statistics

Buffalo averages 86.7 points per contest, which is 27th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 14.7 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 113th. From 3-point territory they shoot 42%, which is good for 20th in the nation. They average 42.0 boards per contest and 19.7 assists per game, which ranks them 58th and 12th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 246th with 12.7 per game. The Bulls allow 72.0 points per contest, which is 244th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 42% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 179th and 150th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 40.0 rebounds a game which ranks 304th, and they allow 13.0 assists per game which puts them in 229th place in the country. They force 17.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 285th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Connecticut is 91st in the nation with 79.3 points per contest this season. They are 303rd in the country in shooting at 39%, while their average scoring margin is 5.3. They shoot 33% from beyond the arc, which is good for 174th in the NCAA. They are 61st in D-1 in rebounding with 42.0 boards per contest and 280th in assists per game with 11.3. The Huskies are 302nd in turnovers per contest with 11.3. The Huskies give up 74.0 points per game, which ranks them 268th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 39% shooting percentage and a 29% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 109th and 108th in those defensive statistics. They rank 71st with 10.3 dimes allowed per game and 338th with 44.0 boards surrendered per contest. The Huskies are 245th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 16.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bulls are 44th in the nation in offensive rating with 113.5. In terms of pace they are 46th in the country with 76.3 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 65th. As a team they are 111th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shots, ranking 47th in Division 1. Buffalo is 293rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.9 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Connecticut is 326th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions. The Huskies have an offensive rating of 102.6, which is ranked 168th. They are 37th in D-1 in pace with 77.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 45% is 303rd. As a unit they are 259th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 50% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 213th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Buffalo/Connecticut college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo +2

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