Florida vs Connecticut Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 11/17/2019

Game: Florida Gators vs Connecticut Huskies

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2019

Location: Harry A. Gampel Pavilion in Storrs, CT

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut +3.5

Total/Over-Under: 137.5

The Florida Gators head to Harry A. Gampel Pavilion to take on the Connecticut Huskies on Sunday, November 17, 2019. The opening line for this game has Florida as 3.5 point favorites.

Florida comes into this game with an overall record of 2-1. They currently have a point differential of 3.0 as they are averaging 63.7 points per game while giving up 60.7 per contest. Connecticut has an overall record of 1-1. They are averaging 88.0 points per game and surrendering 81.5, good for a point differential of 6.5.

Valuable Florida Gators Betting Trends

The Florida Gators are 0-3-0 against the spread this season

The Florida Gators are 0-3-0 against the over/under this year

Important Connecticut Huskies Betting Trends

The Connecticut Huskies are 1-1-0 against the spread this season

The Connecticut Huskies are 2-0-0 against the over/under this year

Key Florida Gators Injuries

11/05/19 C Gorjok Gak Shoulder is out indefinitely

Key Connecticut Huskies Injuries

11/07/19 G James Bouknight Suspension 3-game suspension (eligible to return 11/21 vs Buffalo)

Player Spotlight

Kerry Blackshear Jr. comes into this game averaging 14.3 points per contest while playing 32.3 minutes per night this year. He grabs 12.0 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.0 assists per game. His FG percentage is 37% while his free throw percentage is 78%. Keyontae Johnson averages 11.3 points per contest in 27.7 minutes per game. He averages 1.3 assists per game and 5.0 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 52% for the season while his free throw percentage is 75%.

Player Spotlight

Christian Vital scores 21.5 points per contest while playing 32.5 minutes per game. He hauls in 11.5 rebounds per contest and has 2.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 37% and his free throw percentage is at 94%. Alterique Gilbert averages 14.0 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.0 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.0 rebounds per game and has 3.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 25% and his free throw percentage is 71%.

Useful Team Statistics

Florida averages 63.7 points per contest, which is 298th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 3.0 and their shooting percentage is 38% as a unit, which has them ranked 315th. From 3-point territory they shoot 24%, which is good for 328th in the nation. They average 38.0 boards per contest and 11.3 assists per game, which ranks them 171st and 277th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 297th with 11.3 per game. The Gators allow 60.7 points per contest, which is 78th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 39% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 115th and 171st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 35.0 rebounds a game which ranks 153rd, and they allow 11.3 assists per game which puts them in 136th place in the country. They force 13.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 129th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Connecticut is 25th in the nation with 88.0 points per contest this season. They are 277th in the country in shooting at 41%, while their average scoring margin is 6.5. They shoot 40% from beyond the arc, which is good for 52nd in the NCAA. They are 47th in D-1 in rebounding with 44.0 boards per contest and 266th in assists per game with 11.5. The Huskies are 245th in turnovers per contest with 12.5. The Huskies give up 81.5 points per game, which ranks them 321st in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 38% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 104th and 150th in those defensive statistics. They rank 123rd with 11.0 dimes allowed per game and 341st with 47.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Huskies are 281st in the nation in forcing turnovers with 17.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Gators have an offensive rating of 97.4, which is ranked 235th. They are 327th in college basketball in pace with 65.3 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 42% is 327th. As a unit they are 310th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 47% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 233rd in D-1. Florida is 275th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.3 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Connecticut is 310th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions. The Huskies have an offensive rating of 106.7, which is ranked 126th. They are 7th in D-1 in pace with 82.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 48% is 253rd. As a unit they are 189th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 217th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Florida/Connecticut college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Florida -3.5

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