Notre Dame vs North Carolina Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 11/6/2019

Wednesday, November 6, 2019

Dean E. Smith Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish travel to Dean E. Smith Center to play the North Carolina Tar Heels on Wednesday, November 6, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has North Carolina as 13 point favorites.

Notre Dame comes into this game after finishing last season with an overall record of 13-18. They had a point differential of -0.3 as they averaged 68.7 points per game while giving up 69.0 per contest. North Carolina had an overall mark of 26-5 last year. They averaged 85.8 points per contest and gave up 73.2, which was a point differential of 12.6.

Valuable Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Trends

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish were 13-20-0 against the spread last season

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish were 11-18-2 against the over/under last year

Important North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends

The North Carolina Tar Heels were 22-12-2 against the spread last season

The North Carolina Tar Heels were 14-17-0 against the over/under last year

Key Notre Dame Fighting Irish Injuries

11/04/19 G Rex Pflueger Knee is probable Wednesday vs North Carolina

Key North Carolina Tar Heels Injuries

11/04/19 G Brandon Robinson Ankle is out indefinitely
11/04/19 F Sterling Manley Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

John Mooney comes into this contest after averaging 14.1 points per game while playing 29.6 minutes per night last season. He pulled down 11.2 rebounds per game and dished out 1.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage was 57% while his free throw percentage finished at 77%. Temple Gibbs averaged 13.4 points per game in 36.1 minutes per contest last season. He averaged 3.4 assists per contest and 1.9 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage was 35% for the year while his free throw percentage was 76%.

Player Spotlight

Garrison Brooks averaged 7.9 points per game while playing 23.0 minutes per contest last year. He grabbed 5.6 rebounds per game and had 1.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage was 57% and his free throw percentage was at 64%. Brandon Robinson averaged 3.4 points per game last season and he saw the court an average of 11.9 minutes per contest. He also averaged 1.6 rebounds per contest and 1.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage was 49% and his free throw percentage was 63%.

Useful Team Statistics

Notre Dame averaged 68.7 points per contest last season, which ranked them 275th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin was -0.3 and their shooting percentage was 39% as a team, which had them ranked 344th. Behind the arc they shot 32% which was good for 310th in the nation. They averaged 36.6 rebounds per game and 12.8 assists per game, which ranked them 112th and 222nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 348th with 9.3 per game. The Fighting Irish allowed 69.0 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 109th in the country. They also allowed a 43% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 122nd and 104th in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 39.0 rebounds a game which ranked 333rd and they gave up 12.8 assists per contest, which put them in 159th place in the nation. They forced 10.9 turnovers per game which ranked them 24th among NCAA teams.

Useful Team Statistics

North Carolina was 3rd in the country with 85.8 points per game last year. They were 63rd in Division 1 in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin was 12.6. They shot 36% from 3-point range, which was good for 86th in the nation. They were 1st in the country in rebounding with 44.1 boards per game, and 2nd in assists per contest with 18.8. The Tar Heels were 156th in turnovers per game with 13.1. The Tar Heels surrendered 73.2 points per contest, which ranked them 225th in D-1. Their defense allowed a 42% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 58th and 126th in those defensive statistics. They ranked 260th with 14.1 assists allowed per contest and 110th with 33.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Tar Heels were 253rd in the country in forcing turnovers with 13.9 per game last season.

Advanced Statistics

The Fighting Irish were 174th in the nation last year in offensive rating with 103.3. In terms of pace they were 307th in the country with 66.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 46% was 334th. As a team they were 325th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 50% and they shot 3-pointers on 44% of their shots, ranking 56th in Division 1. Notre Dame was 351st in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

North Carolina was 288th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 14.6 times per 100 possessions. The Tar Heels were 18th in the country in offensive rating with 112.7. In terms of pace they were 8th in Division 1 with 75.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% was 87th. As a team they were 92nd in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 246th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Notre Dame/North Carolina college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take North Carolina -13

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