St. Mary's vs Dayton NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions 12/8/2019

Game: St. Mary's Gaels vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Sunday, December 8, 2019

Location: Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix, AZ

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Dayton -3.5

Total/Over-Under: 136.5

The St. Mary's Gaels travel to Talking Stick Resort Arena to play the Dayton Flyers on Sunday, December 8, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Dayton as 3.5 point favorites.

St. Mary's comes into this game with an overall record of 9-1. They currently have a point differential of 15.0 as they are averaging 75.3 points per game while giving up 60.3 per contest. Dayton has an overall record of 6-1. They are averaging 88.7 points per game and surrendering 70.1, good for a point differential of 18.6.

Valuable St. Mary's Gaels Betting Trends

The St. Mary's Gaels are 3-6-0 against the spread

The St. Mary's Gaels are 5-4-0 against the over/under

Important Dayton Flyers Betting Trends

The Dayton Flyers are 4-2-1 against the spread

The Dayton Flyers are 6-1-0 against the over/under

Key St. Mary's Gaels Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Dayton Flyers Injuries

11/11/19 C Moulaye Sissoko Redshirt is out for season

Player Spotlight

Jordan Ford comes into this contest averaging 20.2 points per game while playing 35.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 2.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 67% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 74%. Malik Fitts averages 13.8 points per game in 32.9 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.0 assists per contest and 7.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 76%.

Player Spotlight

Obi Toppin averages 22.1 points per game while playing 30.6 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 8.6 rebounds per game and has 1.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 67% and his free throw percentage is at 77%. Jalen Crutcher averages 11.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.4 rebounds per contest and 6.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 100%.

Useful Team Statistics

St. Mary's averages 75.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 113th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 15.0 and their shooting percentage is 50% as a team, which has them ranked 19th. Behind the arc they shoot 44% which is good for 1st in the nation. They average 32.8 rebounds per game and 13.6 assists per game, which ranks them 297th and 168th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 345th with 9.9 per game. The Gaels allow 60.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 30th in the country. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 216th and 188th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 27.8 rebounds a game which ranks 5th and they give up 7.9 assists per contest, which puts them in 5th place in Division 1. They force 12.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 57th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Dayton is 2nd in the country with 88.7 points per game this year. They are 1st in Division 1 in shooting at 55%, while their average scoring margin is 18.6. They shoot 39% from 3-point range, which is good for 35th in the nation. They are 254th in the NCAA in rebounding with 34.1 boards per game, and 1st in assists per contest with 21.0. The Flyers are 269th in turnovers per game with 12.3. The Flyers surrender 70.1 points per contest, which ranks them 206th in D-1. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 297th and 324th in those defensive statistics. They rank 120th with 11.6 assists allowed per contest and 32nd with 30.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Flyers are 223rd in country in forcing turnovers with 15.0 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Gaels are 7th in the nation in offensive rating with 116.7. In terms of pace they are 345th in the country with 63.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 58% is 7th. As a team they are 9th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 61% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 138th in Division 1. St. Mary's is 329th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Dayton is 280th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions. The Flyers have an offensive rating of 123.5, which is ranked 1st. They are 180th in D-1 in pace with 70.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 63% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 64% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shot attempts, ranking 54th in the country.

Who will win tonight's St. Mary's/Dayton college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dayton -3.5

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