UMass vs Dayton Predictions, Picks, Tips, 1/11/2020
Game: UMass Minutemen vs Dayton Flyers
Date: Saturday, January 11, 2020
Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH
Odds/Point Spread: Dayton -19
The UMass Minutemen travel to UD Arena to play the Dayton Flyers on Saturday, January 11, 2020. The opening line for this matchup has Dayton as 19 point favorites.
UMass comes into this game with an overall record of 7-8. They currently have a point differential of 0.6 as they are averaging 72.2 points per game while giving up 71.6 per contest. Dayton has an overall mark of 13-2. They are averaging 83.1 points per contest and giving up 65.3, which is a point differential of 17.8.
Valuable UMass Minutemen Betting Trends
The UMass Minutemen are 10-5-0 against the spread
The UMass Minutemen are 9-6-0 against the over/under
Important Dayton Flyers Betting Trends
The Dayton Flyers are 8-6-1 against the spread
The Dayton Flyers are 9-6-0 against the over/under
Key UMass Minutemen Injuries
12/19/19 G T.J. Weeks Abdominal is out for season
01/02/20 G John Buggs III ACL is out for season
Key Dayton Flyers Injuries
11/11/19 C Moulaye Sissoko Redshirt is out for season
01/06/20 F Chase Johnson Concussion is out indefinitely
Tre Mitchell comes into this contest averaging 14.7 points per game while playing 29.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 6.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 63% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 65%. Carl Pierre averages 14.5 points per game in 33.1 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.4 assists per contest and 3.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 42% for the year while his free throw percentage is 87%.
Obi Toppin averages 19.5 points per game while playing 30.4 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 7.7 rebounds per game and has 2.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 63% and his free throw percentage is at 70%. Jalen Crutcher averages 12.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.1 rebounds per contest and 5.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 90%.
Useful Team Statistics
UMass averages 72.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 170th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 0.6 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 198th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 56th in the nation. They average 33.1 rebounds per game and 13.2 assists per game, which ranks them 305th and 188th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 123rd with 14.2 per game. The Minutemen allow 71.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 239th in the country. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 29% average from behind the arc, ranking them 302nd and 50th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 37.9 rebounds a game which ranks 288th and they give up 15.2 assists per contest, which puts them in 313th place in Division 1. They force 16.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 302nd in D-1.
Useful Team Statistics
Dayton is 8th in the country with 83.1 points per game this year. They are 1st in Division 1 in shooting at 53%, while their average scoring margin is 17.8. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 25th in the nation. They are 205th in the NCAA in rebounding with 35.1 boards per game, and 2nd in assists per contest with 19.6. The Flyers are 259th in turnovers per game with 12.6. The Flyers surrender 65.3 points per contest, which ranks them 87th in D-1. Their defense allows a 42% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 157th and 245th in those defensive statistics. They rank 88th with 11.4 assists allowed per contest and 36th with 31.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Flyers are 223rd in country in forcing turnovers with 14.7 per game.
The Minutemen have an offensive rating of 100.2, which is ranked 209th. They are 137th in college basketball in pace with 70.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 143rd. As a unit they are 159th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 89th in D-1. UMass is 129th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.4 times per 100 possessions.
Dayton is 245th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.9 times per 100 possessions. The Flyers have an offensive rating of 118.2, which is ranked 2nd. They are 235th in D-1 in pace with 69.1 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 60% is 1st. As a unit they are 2nd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 62% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 100th in the country.
Who will win tonight's UMass/Dayton college basketball game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Dayton -19
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