San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels Prediction, 3/3/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Date: Wednesday, March 3, 2021

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego State (-11)

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels (11-12) play the San Diego State Aztecs (19-4) at Thomas & Mack Center on Wednesday. San Diego State opens this contest as 11-point favorites. The total is set at 133.5.

San Diego State comes into this matchup with a mark of 19-4 this season. They are losing possession via turnover 11.8 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 18.4 personal fouls per game. As a unit, San Diego State is snagging 36.5 boards per contest and has 326 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 84th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Aztecs are connecting on 38.0% on shots from downtown (202 of 531) and 71.3% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 74.6 points per outing (100th in college hoops) while connecting on 45.7% from the field. On defense, the Aztecs are forcing their opponents into 15.5 turnovers per game and they draw 18.5 personal fouls. The Aztecs defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 38.6% (466 of 1,206) and they concede 31.6 boards per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 225th in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 291 conceded this year. They are giving up 32.3% on shots from distance and they are ranked 4th in Division 1 in opponents PPG (60.0).

The San Diego State Aztecs took the court against the Boise State Broncos and went home with a win by a final score of 62-58 in their last game. San Diego State finished the contest having earned a 39.7% field goal percentage (23 out of 58) and made 5 out of their 18 3-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Aztecs converted 11 of 16 attempts for a rate of 68.8%. When talking about hauling in rebounds, they compiled 29 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 11 assists in this contest while forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and earning 8 steals. When discussing defending, San Diego State allowed the other team to shoot 35.2% from the floor on 19 of 54 shooting. Boise State distributed 8 dimes and had 5 steals for the matchup. Additionally, Boise State pulled down 39 rebounds (9 offensive, 30 defensive) and earned 4 blocks. Boise State finished 83.3% from the charity stripe by knocking down 15 of their 18 shots. They converted 5 of their 26 attempts from long range.

Jordan Schakel is a guy who was a major factor for this contest. He totaled 17 points on 4 of 9 shooting. He played for 18 minutes and also totaled 2 rebounds. Schakel finished 44.4% from the field but wasn't able to get a dime. An additional guy that was a major factor in this game for the Aztecs was Terrell Gomez. He grabbed 4 rebounds in 27 minutes on the court. He finished the game at 44.4% from the floor in the matchup by going 4-of-9 (9 points). When all was said and done, Gomez tallied 1 assist.

UNLV has a win-loss mark of 11-12 on the year. On the offensive side of the court, the Runnin' Rebels are connecting on 44.4% from the field, which is ranked 170th in the country. UNLV has accumulated 1,611 pts this year (70.0 per contest) and they pull in 36.4 boards per game. They are earning an assist 13.1 times per game (181st in college basketball) and they turn the ball over 12.1 times per game. The Runnin' Rebels commit 18.1 fouls per game and they shoot 69.8% from the free throw line. The Runnin' Rebels defensively are ranked 92nd in the nation in points given up per game with 67.2. They are able to force 12.1 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 41.6% from the field (90th in D-1). The UNLV defense surrenders 36.8% on shots from 3-point land (205 of 557) and their opponents are converting on 73.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 13.4 assists and 32.5 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 215th and 72nd in Division 1.

The last time they took the hardwood, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels went home victorious with a score of 68-67 when they faced the Fresno State Bulldogs. The Runnin' Rebels were able to pull down 18 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 26 in the matchup. They also gave up possession 8 times, while getting 5 steals for this contest. The Bulldogs were called for 12 fouls in the matchup which got the Runnin' Rebels to the free throw line for a total of 8 attempts. They were able to bury 6 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 75.0%. With respect to shooting from beyond the arc, UNLV made 8 out of 21 tries (38.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Runnin' Rebels finished shooting 27 for 57 from the field which gave them a percentage of 47.4%. The Runnin' Rebels permitted the Bulldogs to convert 21 out of their 46 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 45.7% in this game. They wrapped up this game 47.6% from distance via 10 of 21 and finished the game at 15 out of 19 at the free throw line (78.9%). When it comes to rebounding, UNLV allowed Fresno State to collect 24 overall (4 offensive).

Caleb Grill ended up being important for the Runnin' Rebels in this contest. He made 6 of 12 for the matchup giving him a rate of 50.0%, and earned 1 rebound. Grill totaled 18 points in his 35 mins of playing time and added 1 assist for this game. Another guy that was important for UNLV was Bryce Hamilton. He ended up finishing with 1 assist in his 35 minutes played, and he put in 6 of 18 from the floor. Hamilton ended up shooting 33.3% from the floor while collecting 13 points and 7 boards.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take San Diego State (-11) and over 133.5 points

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