Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 12/17/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN+

The San Diego State Aztecs (5-3) are hosting the Air Force Falcons (3-8) at Viejas Arena on Wednesday.

The Air Force Falcons played Navy and went home with a loss by a final score of 61-56 in their last contest. Regarding fouls, the Falcons ended up with 17 while Navy recorded 16 fouls. They also made 5 of their 15 tries from long range. Navy shot 93.3% when shooting free throws by making 14 of their 15 tries. On top of that, Navy grabbed 33 rebounds (5 offensive, 28 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Navy recorded 15 assists and had 5 steals in this game. In the matter of defending, Air Force allowed the other team to go 39.6% from the floor on 21 of 53 shooting. They also doled out 11 assists in the matchup while forcing 8 turnovers and having 4 steals. In terms of getting rebounds, they compiled 31 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Falcons made 8 of their 14 attempts for a percentage of 57.1%. Air Force finished the game with a 39.6% field goal percentage (21 of 53) and buried 6 of their 25 three-point attempts.

Kam Sanders is one guy who had an impact for the contest. He totaled 15 points on 4 out of 12 shooting. He played 34 minutes and also totaled 4 boards. He finished the contest at 33.3% from the field and distributed 3 assists.

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Air Force enters this game with a mark of 3-8 this season. They are losing possession via turnover 14.2 times per game and as a squad they commit 17.6 personal fouls per game. As a team, Air Force is collecting 31.9 boards per game and has 142 dimes so far this year, which is 262nd in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. The Falcons are shooting 31.5% on shots from beyond the arc (70 of 222) and 63.7% from the free throw line. They average 66.2 points per contest (344th in the country) while shooting 44.8% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Falcons are able to force 11.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.8 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 32.6% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 196th in college hoops in points per game allowed (73.5). The Falcons defense is allowing a FG percentage of 46.0% (288 of 626) and they surrender 34.1 boards per game as a unit. They rank 184th in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 143 relinquished so far this season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the San Diego State Aztecs walked away with a victory by a final of 89-71 when they faced Lamar. The Aztecs recorded 28 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 38 in the matchup. They turned the ball over 13 times, while getting 6 steals in this matchup. Lamar had 20 fouls for the contest which got the Aztecs to the charity stripe for 31 shots. They were able to convert 23 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 74.2%. In terms of shooting from downtown, San Diego State knocked down 8 of their 18 attempts (44.4%). In all, the Aztecs ended up going 29 for 60 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 48.3%. The Aztecs permitted Lamar to bury 21 of their 58 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 36.2% for this contest. They shot 40.0% from three-point range by shooting 14 out of 35 and ended up going 15 out of 20 at the free throw line (75.0%). When talking about rebounding, San Diego State permitted Lamar to pull down 29 in all (8 on the offensive glass).

Miles Byrd was important for the Aztecs in this game. He earned 19 points in his 30 minutes on the court and accumulated 4 dimes for this contest. He converted 6 of 10 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and tallied 5 rebounds.

San Diego State has a win-loss record of 5-3 so far this season. The Aztecs are committing 19.9 fouls every game and they connect on 76.1% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 15.9 times per game (114th in the country) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.4 times per contest. San Diego State has accounted for 655 pts on the campaign (81.9 per contest) and they pull in 35.3 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Aztecs are hitting on 47.7% from the field, which has them ranked 92nd in the country.

The Aztecs are ranked 256th in Division 1 in points per game surrendered with 76.5. They are forcing 15.6 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.9% from the floor (152nd in the nation). The San Diego State defense allows 35.6% from downtown (80 of 225) and their opponents are knocking down 72.5% of their free throw attempts. They have conceded 14.9 assists and 34.3 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 272nd and 167th in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Air Force

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