Alabama State Hornets vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, 12/22/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama State Hornets vs Memphis Tigers

Date: Monday, December 22, 2025

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN+

FedExForum is where the Memphis Tigers (4-6) will try to defeat the Alabama State Hornets (3-8) on Monday.

The Alabama State Hornets played Cincinnati and ended up losing by a score of 88-51 in their last game. Concerning fouls, the Hornets ended up finishing with 17 and Cincinnati totaled 13 fouls. They made 8 of 35 attempts from downtown. Cincinnati finished the contest at 70.0% from the charity stripe by burying 14 of their 20 attempts. On top of that, Cincinnati grabbed 42 boards (11 offensive, 31 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Cincinnati recorded 25 dimes and had 6 steals in this contest. Regarding the defense, Alabama State let their opponent shoot 49.3% from the floor on 33 out of 67 shooting. They also recorded 7 assists for this contest in addition to forcing 7 turnovers and having 2 steals. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 37 with 14 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Hornets converted 7 of their 12 tries for a rate of 58.3%. Alabama State walked away from the contest having earned a 29.0% field goal percentage (20 out of 69) and buried 4 of 20 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Micah Simpson is someone who came through for the contest. He finished the contest at 23.8% from the field and also earned 1 assist. He played for 36 minutes and snagged 7 rebounds. He left the arena with 13 points on 5 out of 21 shooting.

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Alabama State heads into this contest with a win-loss mark of 3-8 this year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.4 times per game and as a group they commit 18.5 fouls every game. As a unit, Alabama State is pulling down 36.0 boards per game and has accounted for 154 assists this year, which has them ranked 251st in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Hornets are hitting 36.1% on shots from distance (92 of 255) and 67.4% from the free throw line. They average 76.6 points per outing (204th in D-1) while connecting on 43.4% from the field.

On defense, the Hornets are able to force 13.6 turnovers per game while drawing 16.7 fouls. They are 329th in the nation in giving up assists to the opposition with 191 conceded for the season. The Hornets are giving up a FG percentage of 47.1% (314 of 666) and they surrender 37.3 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 34.7% on shots from distance while they are 338th in the nation in opponents points per game (82.4).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Memphis Tigers walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 77-70 when they played Vanderbilt. Concerning how they rebounded, Memphis permitted Vanderbilt to collect 39 in total (10 offensive). They finished 19.4% from 3-point land by connecting on 6 of 31 and finished the game at 31 of 40 from the free throw line (77.5%). The Tigers allowed Vanderbilt to bury 20 out of 62 tries from the field which had them at 32.3% in this matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Tigers finished the game shooting 23 for 64 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 35.9%. When talking about shooting from downtown, Memphis made 4 out of their 20 tries (20.0%). They were able to convert 20 of those for a rate of 76.9%. Vanderbilt had 19 personal fouls for this game which got the Tigers to the free throw line for a total of 26 shots. They also coughed up the ball 19 times, while getting 13 steals in this matchup. The Tigers pulled down 27 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 37 in this contest.

Dug McDaniel ended up being important for the Tigers in the matchup. He knocked down 6 of 18 for this game for a rate of 33.3%, and totaled 5 rebounds. He recorded 18 points in his 42 mins of playing time and accumulated 4 assists in this contest.

Memphis has a win-loss record of 4-6 on the campaign. As an offense, the Tigers are shooting 42.2% from the field, which has them ranked 315th in college. Memphis has tallied 751 points on the year (75.1 per game) and they collect 37.2 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 13.7 times per game (239th in college) and they are giving up possession 13.6 times per contest. The Tigers have committed 21.4 fouls per game and they connect on 71.0% from the free throw line.

The Memphis defense allows 33.0% on three-point shots (88 of 267) and opponents are connecting on 71.7% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 15.4 assists and 37.3 total boards per game, which is 299th and 296th in college. The Tigers on the defensive end are ranked 266th in D-1 in points allowed per contest with 76.9. They have forced 13.3 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.6% from the field (99th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alabama State

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