Alabama State Hornets vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 12/29/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama State Hornets vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Monday, December 29, 2025

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

The Alabama State Hornets (3-9) are on their way to Humphrey Coliseum on Monday where they will meet the Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-5).

The Alabama State Hornets faced Memphis and took a loss by a final of 88-67 in their last contest. Alabama State walked away from the contest having earned a 35.9% FG percentage (23 out of 64) and buried 8 out of their 29 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Hornets knocked down 13 of 22 shots for a percentage of 59.1%. With regard to rebounding, they earned a total of 33 with 17 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 13 assists for this game as well as forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and getting 9 steals. When discussing defense, Alabama State let their opponent shoot 50.8% from the floor on 32 out of 63 shooting. Memphis distributed 20 assists and had 13 steals in the matchup. In addition, Memphis had 39 boards (15 offensive, 24 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Memphis walked away from this one shooting 61.1% from the free throw line by making 11 of 18 attempts. They converted 13 of 30 shots from long range. In relation to personal fouls, the Hornets ended up walking away with 14 and Memphis recorded 16 personal fouls.

Asjon Anderson is one guy who was a contributor for the contest. He shot 30.8% from the field and distributed 3 assists. He was on the hardwood for 35 mins played and totaled 4 boards. He was able to score 16 points on 4 of 13 shooting.

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Alabama State heads into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 3-9 on the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.7 times per game and as a squad are committing 18.2 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Alabama State is pulling down 36.1 boards per game and has accounted for 167 dimes this year, which is 264th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Hornets are shooting 35.2% on shots from downtown (100 of 284) and 66.7% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 75.8 pts per contest (230th in the country) while shooting 42.8% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Hornets are able to force 14.0 turnovers per game and they draw 16.7 personal fouls. They are 332nd in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 211 relinquished for the year. The Hornets defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.5% (346 of 729) and they surrender 37.5 rebounds per contest as a team. They relinquish 35.4% on three-point shots while they are 338th in D-1 in opponents PPG (82.8).

When they last stepped on the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs walked away with a victory by a final of 71-66 when they faced Memphis. When it comes to cleaning the glass, Mississippi State allowed Memphis to collect 40 in total (16 offensive). They finished 29.0% from beyond the perimeter by going 9 out of 31 and finished the contest at 11 of 16 from the free throw line (68.8%). The Bulldogs permitted Memphis to convert 23 of their 62 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 37.1% in the matchup. When all was said and done, the Bulldogs ended up shooting 24 for 54 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.4%. Regarding shooting from downtown, Mississippi State converted 6 of their 21 attempts (28.6%). They were able to bury 17 of the free throw tries for a clip of 68.0%. Memphis was called for 21 fouls in this contest which took the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 25 attempts. They turned it over 15 times, while getting 9 steals in the game. The Bulldogs were able to pull down 23 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards for a total of 32 for the matchup.

Shawn Jones Jr. pitched in for the Bulldogs for the matchup. He made 4 out of 7 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 57.1%, and had 5 rebounds. He earned 9 points in his 32 mins of playing time and added 4 assists in the matchup.

Mississippi State has a win-loss mark of 7-5 so far this year. As an offense, the Bulldogs are shooting 45.0% from the floor, which ranks 213th in the country. Mississippi State has 945 points for the year (78.8 per contest) and they snag 39.9 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 12.8 times per game (291st in college) and they turn it over 11.8 times per game. The Bulldogs are responsible for committing 14.9 fouls per game and they go 68.2% from the charity stripe.

The Bulldogs on the defensive side of the court are 279th in college in PPG allowed with 77.5. They are able to force 10.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 42.1% from the field (119th in college hoops). The Mississippi State defense allows 31.3% on 3-point attempts (100 of 320) and opponents are knocking down 74.5% of their free throw shots. They have given up 14.3 assists and 39.3 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 252nd and 342nd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alabama State

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