Alabama State Hornets vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, 12/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama State Hornets vs Missouri Tigers

Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025

Location: Mizzou Arena in Columbia, MO

TV: ESPN+

Mizzou Arena is where the Missouri Tigers (8-2) will play the Alabama State Hornets (3-6) on Thursday.

The Alabama State Hornets faced off with UT Martin and ended up losing by a score of 74-64 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Hornets finished with 21 and UT Martin accounted for 17 personal fouls. They made 9 out of their 29 attempts from long range. UT Martin finished 47.8% at the charity stripe by making 11 of their 23 tries. Furthermore, UT Martin had 40 boards (18 offensive, 22 defensive), but didn't notch a block. UT Martin doled out 15 dimes and had 10 steals in this game. With respect to defense, Alabama State allowed the other team to shoot 42.9% from the floor on 27 out of 63 shooting. They also doled out 12 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 5 steals. With regard to rebounding, they collected 29 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Hornets made 11 of their 19 attempts for a rate of 57.9%. Alabama State ended the contest with a 45.1% field goal percentage (23 of 51) and converted 7 of 18 three-point attempts.

Tyler Byrd is a guy who was a factor for this game. He ended up scoring 15 points on 5 out of 6 shooting. He played for 20 minutes and also collected 4 rebounds. He went 83.3% from the field and also earned 2 dimes.

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Alabama State heads into this matchup with a record of 3-6 for the season. They are averaging 79.4 points per contest (149th in the nation) while hitting 44.8% from the field. The Hornets are hitting 35.9% from downtown (75 of 209) and 68.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, Alabama State is grabbing 36.9 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 134 assists on the campaign, which is 235th in college in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 13.1 times per contest and as a team they are committing 19.0 fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Hornets are forcing 14.7 turnovers per game while drawing 17.8 personal fouls. They are ranked 292nd in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 150 surrendered for the season. The Hornets are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 45.3% (248 of 548) and they surrender 37.4 rebounds per game as a squad. They give up 35.3% from beyond the arc and they are 330th in the nation in opponents PPG (81.4).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Missouri Tigers took a defeat with a final score of 80-60 when they played Kansas. In regard to rebounding, Missouri permitted Kansas to collect 38 overall (10 on the offensive glass). They wrapped up this game 42.9% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 9 of 21 and finished the contest at 19 out of 26 at the free throw line (73.1%). The Tigers allowed Kansas to bury 26 out of their 57 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.6% in the matchup. Overall, the Tigers walked away from this one shooting 21 for 61 from the field which gave them a rate of 34.4%. With respect to 3-point shots, Missouri converted 7 of their 27 attempts (25.9%). They were able to make 11 of those for a rate of 52.4%. Kansas earned 19 fouls for this contest which got the Tigers to the free throw line for a total of 21 attempts. They coughed it up 10 times, while getting 6 steals in this contest. The Tigers snagged 19 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 32 for this game.

Mark Mitchell ended up having an impact for the Tigers for the contest. He earned 21 points in his 32 mins on the hardwood and tallied 1 assist in the game. He buried 7 of 15 for the contest for a field goal rate of 46.7%, and had 7 rebounds.

Missouri has a mark of 8-2 for the year. The Tigers are responsible for committing 18.1 fouls every game while shooting 68.1% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 15.8 times per contest (115th in the nation) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.3 times per contest. Missouri has accumulated 874 pts on the season (87.4 per contest) and they average 39.8 boards per contest. As an offensive team, the Tigers are shooting 52.4% from the field, which has them ranked 9th in college.

The Missouri defense gives up 33.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (95 of 280) and opponents are knocking down 71.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 12.6 dimes and 29.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 137th and 15th in college. The Tigers defensively are ranked 116th in D-1 in points allowed per game with 70.1. They are forcing 13.4 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 40.1% from the floor (64th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Missouri

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