Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 12/17/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Location: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-4) are headed to Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Wednesday where they will meet the Texas State Bobcats (7-5).

The Arkansas State Red Wolves faced off with Rice and went home with a loss by a final score of 77-76 in their last game. Arkansas State finished with a 49.2% FG percentage (30 of 61) and converted 4 of their 18 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Red Wolves made 12 of 19 attempts for a percentage of 63.2%. When it comes to rebounding, they earned 38 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 11 assists in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and earning 6 steals. Regarding defending, Arkansas State let their opponent shoot 40.6% from the field on 26 of 64 shooting. Rice earned 13 dimes and had 8 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Rice had 31 boards (11 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Rice ended up shooting 65.2% at the charity stripe by knocking down 15 of their 23 attempts. They buried 10 of their 24 attempts from distance. Regarding personal fouls, the Red Wolves finished with 17 while Rice accounted for 18 personal fouls.

Chandler Jackson is one guy who was a factor for the matchup. He ended up shooting 66.7% from the field and dished out 2 dimes. He played 23 minutes and snagged 4 rebounds. He totaled 17 points on 6 of 9 shooting.

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Arkansas State enters this matchup with a record of 7-4 for the campaign. They average 80.4 pts per contest (129th in Division 1) while going 44.5% from the floor. The Red Wolves are shooting 28.7% on three-point shots (83 of 289) and 78.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, Arkansas State is snagging 39.8 boards per contest and is sitting with 154 assists this season, which ranks 199th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 14.5 times per contest and as a unit they commit 19.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Red Wolves have forced 11.4 turnovers every game while drawing 18.5 fouls. They are giving up 31.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 310th in the country in PPG allowed (79.4). The Red Wolves defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 45.2% (307 of 679) and they concede 34.7 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are 198th in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 145 relinquished on the year.

In their last game, the Texas State Bobcats went home victorious with a score of 86-83 against Southern. The Bobcats recorded 25 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in this contest. They coughed it up 18 times, while recording 13 steals for the matchup. Southern earned 21 fouls in this game which took the Bobcats to the charity stripe for a total of 31 tries. They were able to bury 23 of the free throws for a percentage of 74.2%. Regarding 3-point attempts, Texas State knocked down 7 of 17 attempts (41.2%). When this game wrapped up, the Bobcats finished shooting 28 for 54 from the field which gave them a rate of 51.9%. The Bobcats permitted Southern to make 30 out of their 63 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.6% for the game. They shot 38.5% from distance by going 10 out of 26 and ended up going 13 out of 19 from the free throw line (68.4%). With respect to cleaning the glass, Texas State permitted Southern to collect 26 overall (9 offensive).

Mark Drone was important for the Bobcats for the matchup. He converted 8 of 13 in this matchup for a rate of 61.5%, and accumulated 5 rebounds. He totaled 23 points in his 38 minutes on the hardwood and had 5 dimes in this matchup.

Texas State has a win-loss record of 7-5 this season. The Bobcats have committed 17.6 fouls every game and they connect on 73.0% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 13.6 times per contest (247th in college) and they are giving up possession 14.4 times per contest. Texas State has accumulated 895 points for the season (74.6 per contest) and they average 38.3 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Bobcats are hitting on 47.4% from the field, which ranks 99th in the nation.

The Texas State defense concedes 33.5% on 3-point attempts (83 of 248) and their opponents are making 67.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 10.8 assists and 30.4 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 41st and 28th in college hoops. The Bobcats on the defensive end are ranked 53rd in college in points per game surrendered with 66.9. They are able to force 14.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 41.7% from the field (107th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arkansas State

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