Cal Poly Mustangs vs Colorado State Rams Prediction, 11/12/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cal Poly Mustangs vs Colorado State Rams

Date: Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Location: Moby Arena in Fort Collins, CO

TV: ESPN+

Moby Arena is the location where the Colorado State Rams (2-0) will attempt to defeat the Cal Poly Mustangs (2-1) on Wednesday.

The Cal Poly Mustangs faced Seattle and earned the victory with a final of 73-71 in their last game. When talking about fouls, the Mustangs left the arena with 18 while Seattle totaled 25 fouls. They also converted 8 of their 29 tries from 3-point land. Seattle shot 35.7% from the charity stripe by making 5 of their 14 tries. Additionally, Seattle collected 30 rebounds (10 offensive, 20 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Seattle distributed 14 assists and had 9 steals for this game. In reference to defending, Cal Poly let their opponent shoot 46.0% from the field on 29 out of 63 shooting. They also recorded 8 assists in the game as well as forcing the opposition into 17 turnovers and having 7 steals. Regarding rebounding, they compiled 31 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Mustangs made 16 of their 22 attempts for a percentage of 72.7%. Cal Poly walked away from the contest having earned a 39.7% field goal percentage (23 out of 58) and converted 11 of their 33 shots from distance.

Hamad Mousa is a player who was a factor in the matchup. He accumulated 18 points on 5 out of 11 shooting. He played for 32 minutes and also snagged 8 boards. He ended up going 45.5% from the field and also distributed 1 assist.

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Cal Poly comes into this one with a record of 2-1 on the season. They turn it over 18.0 times per contest and as a group are committing 21.7 fouls per contest. As a unit, Cal Poly is snagging 42.7 boards per contest and has racked up 44 dimes for the season, which ranks 46th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Mustangs are connecting on 29.7% on shots from beyond the arc (30 of 101) and 72.5% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 79.3 points per contest (199th in the nation) while connecting on 39.7% from the field.

Defensively, the Mustangs have forced 15.3 turnovers per game while drawing 20.7 fouls. They relinquish 32.0% from 3-point land and they are ranked 280th in the country in PPG allowed (81.3). The Mustangs are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.5% (85 of 200) and they concede 38.7 rebounds per contest as a squad. They currently rank 356th in the nation in giving up assists with 55 surrendered for the season.

In their last game, the Colorado State Rams got the win with a final of 97-74 when they played Omaha. With respect to cleaning the glass, Colorado State permitted Omaha to grab 18 in all (7 on the offensive glass). They finished shooting 36.1% from beyond the perimeter by going 13 of 36 and walked away from this one shooting 11 of 15 from the charity stripe (73.3%). The Rams permitted Omaha to bury 25 of their 59 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 42.4% in this contest. Overall, the Rams finished the game shooting 29 for 53 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 54.7%. With regard to shooting from downtown, Colorado State knocked down 11 of their 29 attempts (37.9%). They were able to knock down 28 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 84.8%. Omaha committed 24 fouls for the contest which got the Rams to the free throw line for a total of 33 shots. They turned it over 11 times, while recording 3 steals in the matchup. The Rams pulled down 28 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 39 for the contest.

Kyle Jorgensen ended up being a major contributor for the Rams for this contest. He made 8 out of 12 for the game for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and had 9 rebounds. He racked up 25 points in his 31 mins of playing time and had 2 dimes in this game.

Colorado State has a mark of 2-0 this season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Rams are connecting on 57.4% from the floor, which ranks them 6th in college hoops. Colorado State has totaled 195 points for the season (97.5 per contest) and they snag 43.0 boards per game. They are earning an assist 19.5 times per contest (49th in college) and they lose possession via turnover 10.5 times per contest. The Rams commit 17.0 fouls every game while shooting 87.3% from the charity stripe.

The Rams on the defensive end are ranked 156th in college in points allowed per game with 69.0. They are forcing their opponents into 6.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 40.7% from the floor (167th in college). The Colorado State defense surrenders 30.6% on shots from beyond the arc (19 of 62) and their opponents are converting on 63.9% of their free throw shots. They have given up 11.0 assists and 20.5 rebounds per contest, ranking them 127th and 2nd in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cal Poly

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