Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana Grizzlies Prediction, 11/14/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana Grizzlies

Date: Friday, November 14, 2025

Location: Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, MT

TV: ESPN+

The Cal Poly Mustangs (2-2) are traveling to Dahlberg Arena on Friday where they will play the Montana Grizzlies (3-1).

The Cal Poly Mustangs stepped onto the hardwood against Colorado State and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 93-79 in their last game. Cal Poly finished with a 42.9% field goal percentage (27 of 63) and made 14 out of their 36 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Mustangs converted 11 of their 18 attempts for a rate of 61.1%. In terms of pulling down boards, they compiled 32 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 13 assists in the matchup while forcing 10 turnovers and having 5 steals. In reference to defense, Cal Poly let their opponent shoot 48.3% from the field on 29 of 60 shooting. Colorado State totaled 25 assists and had 7 steals in the matchup. Furthermore, Colorado State pulled down 38 rebounds (6 offensive, 32 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Colorado State finished shooting 95.0% when shooting free throws by converting 19 of their 20 shots. They also converted 16 of their 36 attempts from distance. With respect to fouls, the Mustangs finished with 22 while Colorado State finished the game with 18 fouls.

Hamad Mousa is a player who was important in this contest. He ended up shooting 38.5% from the floor and also earned 3 assists. He was on the hardwood for 28 mins and also pulled down 2 rebounds. He totaled 18 points on 5 out of 13 shooting.

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Cal Poly enters this game with a win-loss record of 2-2 for the season. They are losing possession via turnover 16.8 times per game and as a team are committing 21.8 fouls per game. As a team, Cal Poly is collecting 40.8 boards per game and has racked up 57 assists so far this year, which is 57th in college in terms of passing the ball. The Mustangs are connecting on 32.1% on shots from 3-point land (44 of 137) and 70.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 79.3 pts per contest (199th in the country) while hitting 40.5% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Mustangs are able to force 14.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.0 personal fouls. They currently rank 363rd in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 80 conceded this season. The Mustangs are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 43.8% (114 of 260) and they concede 38.5 boards per contest as a team. They give up 35.3% on shots from distance and they rank 311th in college hoops in opponents PPG (84.3).

For their last game, the Montana Grizzlies got the win with a final of 102-93 when they faced UNLV. The Grizzlies pulled down 24 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in the matchup. They coughed up the ball 13 times, while earning 4 steals in this game. UNLV had 25 personal fouls in this contest which got the Grizzlies to the charity stripe for 27 tries. They were able to make 24 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 88.9%. In regard to 3-point attempts, Montana buried 6 of 16 attempts (37.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Grizzlies finished shooting 36 out of 65 from the floor which had them at 55.4%. The Grizzlies permitted UNLV to convert 35 out of 69 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 50.7% for this game. They finished 23.1% from distance by shooting 6 of 26 and ended up going 17 out of 27 at the free throw line (63.0%). With respect to team rebounding, Montana allowed UNLV to snag 31 in all (11 on the offensive glass).

Money Williams ended up being a factor for the Grizzlies for the game. He buried 12 of 23 in the matchup for a rate of 52.2%, and had 2 rebounds. He earned 30 points in his 36 minutes on the court and accumulated 8 assists in this game.

Montana has a mark of 3-1 so far this season. The Grizzlies have committed 15.8 personal fouls every game and they go 80.6% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 14.0 times per game (222nd in college hoops) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.8 times per game. Montana has accumulated 349 pts so far this year (87.3 per game) and they grab 46.5 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Grizzlies are hitting on 50.4% from the field, which is ranked 57th in the nation.

The Grizzlies on the defensive end are ranked 93rd in college hoops in PPG allowed with 66.0. They are forcing 10.8 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 38.5% from the field (95th in the nation). The Montana defense concedes 24.5% on 3-point shots (23 of 94) and their opponents are converting on 59.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 11.3 dimes and 29.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 99th and 40th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Montana

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