Central Arkansas Bears vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 12/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Central Arkansas Bears vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025

Location: Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX

TV: ACC Extra

The Central Arkansas Bears (5-7) are en route to Moody Coliseum on Sunday where they will meet the SMU Mustangs (9-2).

The Central Arkansas Bears faced off with Kansas Christian and earned the victory with a final of 102-47 in their last contest. Central Arkansas ended the game having earned a 47.6% field goal percentage (40 of 84) and knocked down 10 out of their 44 shots from distance. When they shot from the free throw line, the Bears buried 12 of their 16 attempts for a rate of 75.0%. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they earned 55 with 21 of them being offensive. They also distributed 18 assists in this contest as well as forcing the other team into 25 turnovers and earning 18 steals. When discussing the defense, Central Arkansas allowed their opponent to shoot 31.7% from the field on 20 of 63 shooting. Kansas Christian earned 8 assists and had 9 steals for the contest. On top of that, Kansas Christian collected 25 boards (6 offensive, 19 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Kansas Christian finished 33.3% when shooting free throws by making 2 of their 6 shots. They also converted 5 out of their 33 tries from beyond the arc. When discussing personal fouls, the Bears left the arena with 9 while Kansas Christian had 12 personal fouls.

Camren Hunter is a guy who was important for this contest. He ended up going 58.3% from the floor and totaled 1 assist. He saw the court for 18 mins played and also grabbed 3 boards. He notched 19 points on 7 out of 12 shooting.

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Central Arkansas comes into this matchup with a record of 5-7 for the season. They turn the ball over 12.8 times per contest and as a unit they commit 15.8 personal fouls per game. As a team, Central Arkansas is grabbing 39.3 rebounds per game and has 180 dimes this year, which ranks 110th in the country in terms of passing the ball. The Bears are hitting 30.2% from downtown (121 of 401) and 63.2% from the charity stripe. They average 75.8 pts per game (220th in Division 1) on 42.9% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Bears are forcing 14.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 15.2 personal fouls. They are ranked 301st in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 178 conceded this year. The Bears are giving up a shooting percentage of 41.4% (302 of 729) and they relinquish 36.8 boards per contest as a team. They are giving up 29.8% from 3-point land and they are 159th in the nation in points per game allowed (72.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the SMU Mustangs took a loss by a final score of 89-77 against LSU. The Mustangs were able to pull down 13 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards for a total of 28 for the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while earning 6 steals in the matchup. LSU had 18 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Mustangs to the charity stripe for a total of 17 shots. They were able to bury 10 of the free throw tries for a rate of 58.8%. Pertaining to 3-pointers, SMU made 7 of 19 attempts (36.8%). When the final whistle was blown, the Mustangs walked away from this one shooting 30 for 61 from the field which had them at 49.2%. The Mustangs permitted LSU to bury 36 out of their 58 tries from the floor which left them shooting 62.1% in this game. They went 46.7% from 3-point land by going 7 out of 15 and ended up going 10 out of 12 at the free throw line (83.3%). Concerning rebounding, SMU permitted LSU to collect 29 overall (10 offensive).

Kevin Miller was important for the Mustangs for the game. He earned 16 points in his 34 minutes on the court and accumulated 4 dimes for this contest. He buried 5 out of 12 for this game giving him a rate of 41.7%, and earned 2 rebounds.

SMU has a win-loss record of 9-2 so far this year. The Mustangs are committing 17.3 personal fouls per game and they shoot 76.8% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 17.4 times per game (46th in college) and they turn it over 11.6 times per contest. SMU has tallied 975 points on the campaign (88.6 per contest) and they snag 39.5 rebounds per contest. As an offensive unit, the Mustangs are hitting on 48.7% from the floor, which is ranked 58th in the country.

The SMU defense surrenders 29.3% on shots from distance (87 of 297) and opponents are connecting on 72.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 15.4 assists and 36.1 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 298th and 260th in those categories on the defensive end. The Mustangs on defense are ranked 272nd in college in PPG given up with 77.2. They are forcing their opponents into 14.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 42.1% from the floor (123rd in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Central Arkansas

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