Florida State Seminoles vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, 12/16/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida State Seminoles vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Florida State Seminoles (5-5) are hitting the road to UD Arena on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Dayton Flyers (8-3).

The Florida State Seminoles took the court against UMass and took a loss by a score of 103-95 in their last contest. In relation to fouls, the Seminoles finished with 20 while UMass racked up 20 fouls. They made 12 out of their 22 shots from beyond the arc. UMass finished 71.4% from the charity stripe by burying 15 of 21 attempts. Additionally, UMass collected 31 rebounds (11 offensive, 20 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. UMass totaled 23 dimes and had 8 steals for the matchup. When it comes to the defense, Florida State allowed their opponent to shoot 53.5% from the floor on 38 of 71 shooting. They also dished out 19 dimes for the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Pertaining to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 36 with 13 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Seminoles buried 19 of their 23 tries for a rate of 82.6%. Florida State finished the contest having earned a 44.4% field goal percentage (32 out of 72) and buried 12 of 41 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Robert McCray V is a guy who was a contributor for this contest. He finished the contest at 56.3% from the field and totaled 11 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 35 mins and snagged 8 rebounds. He walked away with 21 points on 9 of 16 shooting.

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Florida State comes into this game with a record of 5-5 this year. They average 85.3 pts per game (62nd in D-1) while hitting 42.0% from the floor. The Seminoles are shooting 31.3% on three-point shots (116 of 371) and 70.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Florida State is grabbing 38.2 rebounds per contest and has totaled 164 assists on the campaign, which is 130th in the nation in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 12.5 times per game and as a team are committing 19.6 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Seminoles are able to force 18.4 turnovers per game while drawing 18.6 fouls. They are 276th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 162 conceded so far this season. The Seminoles defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 44.8% (279 of 623) and they relinquish 42.3 rebounds per contest as a group. They concede 35.7% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 325th in college hoops in PPG allowed (80.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Dayton Flyers went home victorious with a score of 84-61 when they faced North Florida. Concerning rebounding, Dayton permitted North Florida to pull down 32 in total (10 offensive). They went 27.6% from downtown via 8 out of 29 and walked away from this one shooting 11 of 16 from the free throw line (68.8%). The Flyers permitted North Florida to make 21 of 62 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 33.9% in the matchup. Overall, the Flyers finished the game shooting 34 for 65 from the field which gave them a percentage of 52.3%. When talking about 3-pointers, Dayton made 8 of 29 attempts (27.6%). They were able to make 8 of those for a rate of 47.1%. North Florida earned 18 fouls for this game which took the Flyers to the free throw line for a total of 17 shots. They turned it over 9 times, while getting 11 steals for the contest. The Flyers were able to collect 27 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 39 in this contest.

De'Shayne Montgomery was important for the Flyers in the game. He racked up 23 points in his 21 mins on the court, but wasn't able to earn an assist. He knocked down 9 out of 10 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 90.0%, and totaled 2 rebounds.

Dayton has a win-loss mark of 8-3 for the campaign. The Flyers are committing 16.7 fouls per contest and they shoot 70.9% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 15.1 times per contest (151st in the country) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.9 times per game. Dayton has accounted for 877 pts for the season (79.7 per game) and they snag 33.5 boards per contest. As an offense, the Flyers are shooting 46.6% from the floor, which is 136th in D-1.

The Flyers on defense are ranked 124th in college in PPG given up with 71.0. They are able to force 17.5 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 44.1% from the field (224th in college hoops). The Dayton defense allows 38.6% on three-point shots (95 of 246) and their opponents are knocking down 70.4% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 12.9 dimes and 35.0 boards on a nightly basis, ranking them 153rd and 205th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dayton

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