Florida State Seminoles vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, 12/30/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida State Seminoles vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Date: Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Location: Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC

TV: ESPN2

The Florida State Seminoles (7-6) are hitting the road to Dean E. Smith Center on Tuesday where they will play the North Carolina Tar Heels (12-1).

The Florida State Seminoles took the court against Jacksonville and took home the win by a score of 87-63 in their last game. In the matter of personal fouls, the Seminoles ended up with 17 and Jacksonville recorded 22 personal fouls. They also converted 5 out of their 31 attempts from long range. Jacksonville shot 71.4% from the charity stripe by making 10 of 14 shots. Additionally, Jacksonville pulled down 26 rebounds (8 offensive, 18 defensive), but didn't have a block. Jacksonville earned 11 dimes and had 6 steals for the matchup. Concerning the defense, Florida State allowed the other team to go 40.0% from the field on 24 of 60 shooting. They also doled out 19 dimes in this matchup while creating 7 turnovers and earning 3 steals. In the matter of pulling down rebounds, they collected 41 with 14 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Seminoles made 20 of 26 shots for a percentage of 76.9%. Florida State finished the game with a 45.9% field goal percentage (28 of 61) and buried 11 of their 33 shots from beyond the arc.

Martin Somerville is someone who was a contributor for the contest. He ended up shooting 50.0% from the field and earned 2 assists. He was on the court for 29 minutes and snagged 4 rebounds. He recorded 23 points on 5 out of 10 shooting.

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Florida State enters this contest with a record of 7-6 for the season. They currently have an average of 85.0 pts per contest (61st in Division 1) while hitting 42.2% from the field. The Seminoles are hitting 31.4% on shots from beyond the arc (148 of 471) and 71.5% from the free throw line. As a team, Florida State is grabbing 38.7 rebounds per contest and has totaled 210 assists this season, which has them ranked 80th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 12.5 times per contest and as a group they commit 20.3 personal fouls every game.

On defense, the Seminoles have forced 17.5 turnovers per game while drawing 18.9 fouls. They give up 32.4% on three-point shots while they are 298th in the country in points per game allowed (78.3). The Seminoles are giving up a field goal percentage of 44.2% (345 of 781) and they concede 39.8 rebounds per game as a team. They are 305th in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 198 conceded on the year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the North Carolina Tar Heels went home victorious with a score of 99-51 when they faced East Carolina. When it comes to how they attacked the glass, North Carolina allowed East Carolina to collect 31 in all (14 offensive). They finished 9.1% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 2 out of 22 and walked away from this one shooting 11 out of 17 at the charity stripe (64.7%). The Tar Heels permitted East Carolina to make 19 of 73 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 26.0% in the game. When this game wrapped up, the Tar Heels ended up going 34 out of 63 from the field which gave them a rate of 54.0%. In regard to three-point attempts, North Carolina converted 12 out of 25 tries (48.0%). They were able to make 19 of them for a rate of 63.3%. East Carolina was called for 23 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Tar Heels to the charity stripe for 30 shots. They turned the ball over 12 times, while earning 11 steals in this game. The Tar Heels pulled down 31 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards totaling 43 in the matchup.

Caleb Wilson pitched in for the Tar Heels for the contest. He converted 7 out of 11 for this game for a rate of 63.6%, and tallied 12 rebounds. He recorded 21 points in his 24 mins on the hardwood and accounted for 1 assist in this game.

North Carolina has a win-loss record of 12-1 on the campaign. The Tar Heels are responsible for committing 15.0 fouls per contest and they hit 68.4% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 17.2 times per contest (61st in college hoops) and they cough up possession 10.1 times per contest. North Carolina has accumulated 1,058 points for the campaign (81.4 per contest) and they pull in 42.3 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Tar Heels are connecting on 47.5% from the field, which is 96th in the nation.

The Tar Heels on defense are ranked 16th in D-1 in PPG given up with 63.5. They are forcing 9.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 36.2% from the floor (4th in college). The North Carolina defense gives up 28.0% on three-point shots (80 of 286) and opponents are converting on 71.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 10.8 assists and 33.8 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 37th and 153rd in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take North Carolina

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