Illinois State Redbirds vs USC Trojans Prediction, 11/14/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Illinois State Redbirds vs USC Trojans

Date: Friday, November 14, 2025

Location: Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA

TV: Peacock

The Illinois State Redbirds (1-1) are traveling to Intuit Dome on Friday where they will take on the USC Trojans (2-0).

The Illinois State Redbirds faced Cornell and walked away with a win by a score of 76-65 in their last contest. In reference to personal fouls, the Redbirds ended up with 19 and Cornell finished the game with 26 personal fouls. They converted 6 of 31 tries from 3-point land. Cornell ended up going 70.8% from the free throw line by making 17 of their 24 shots. In addition, Cornell totaled 31 rebounds (5 offensive, 26 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Cornell earned 11 dimes and had 7 steals in the game. When it comes to defense, Illinois State let their opponent shoot 35.0% from the floor on 21 out of 60 shooting. They also doled out 12 assists for this contest in addition to forcing 10 turnovers and getting 6 steals. When talking about hauling in rebounds, they earned 41 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the free throw line, the Redbirds knocked down 17 of their 33 tries for a rate of 51.5%. Illinois State finished the game with a 47.3% FG percentage (26 out of 55) and buried 7 out of their 19 3-pointers.

Ty'Reek Coleman is a guy who was a contributor in this contest. He ended up walking away with 24 points on 6 of 8 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 26 mins and also snagged 2 rebounds. He finished shooting 75.0% from the floor and also dished out 1 assist.

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Illinois State enters this game with a mark of 1-1 for the year. They turn it over 12.5 times per game and as a squad they commit 19.5 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Illinois State is pulling down 40.5 boards per game and has accounted for 23 assists this year, which ranks 352nd in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. The Redbirds are connecting on 33.3% on three-point attempts (15 of 45) and 52.3% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 72.0 points per outing (283rd in Division 1) while hitting 45.3% from the floor.

On defense, the Redbirds are forcing their opponents into 9.5 turnovers every game while drawing 19.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 31st in Division 1 in allowing assists with 24 conceded this year. The Redbirds defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 42.6% (49 of 115) and they concede 36.0 boards per contest as a group. They give up 17.9% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 136th in D-1 in PPG from their opponents (68.5).

When they last played, the USC Trojans walked away with a victory by a final of 114-83 when they played Manhattan. The Trojans were able to pull down 29 defensive rebounds and 23 offensive boards totaling 52 in this matchup. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while getting 6 steals in the matchup. Manhattan had 22 personal fouls for the contest which got the Trojans to the charity stripe for 32 shots. They were able to knock down 24 of those for a rate of 75.0%. With regard to 3-point attempts, USC made 8 out of 21 tries (38.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Trojans finished 41 for 81 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.6%. The Trojans permitted Manhattan to convert 24 of their 61 tries from the field which had them shooting 39.3% in the matchup. They finished 27.3% from three-point range by shooting 6 out of 22 and finished the contest at 29 out of 36 at the free throw line (80.6%). With respect to rebounds, USC allowed Manhattan to get 30 in all (10 on the offensive glass).

Chad Baker-Mazara ended up having an impact for the Trojans in this matchup. He accumulated 26 points in his 23 mins on the hardwood and had 3 dimes for this contest. He converted 7 of 13 for the contest giving him a rate of 53.8%, and accounted for 7 rebounds.

USC has a record of 2-0 for the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Trojans are shooting 48.6% from the field, which ranks 108th in college. USC has earned 208 points so far this year (104.0 per contest) and they average 49.5 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 24.0 times per game (5th in the nation) and they turn it over 13.0 times per contest. The Trojans are committing 21.0 fouls every game while shooting 70.8% from the free throw line.

The Trojans on defense are ranked 205th in the country in PPG surrendered with 73.5. They are forcing their opponents into 17.0 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 36.1% from the floor (41st in college). The USC defense allows 27.3% from downtown (15 of 55) and their opponents are connecting on 75.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 13.5 dimes and 36.0 rebounds every game, which is ranked 214th and 218th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take USC

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