Kentucky Wildcats vs Louisville Cardinals Prediction, 11/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kentucky Wildcats vs Louisville Cardinals

Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Location: KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY

TV: ESPN

The Kentucky Wildcats (2-0) are traveling to KFC Yum! Center on Tuesday where they will meet the Louisville Cardinals (2-0).

The Kentucky Wildcats faced Valparaiso and notched a win by a score of 107-59 in their last game. Kentucky walked away from the contest having earned a 54.4% FG percentage (37 out of 68) and made 11 of 28 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Wildcats made 22 of their 26 tries for a rate of 84.6%. In regard to grabbing boards, they compiled a total of 45 with 10 of them being offensive. They also recorded 27 dimes for the game while creating 9 turnovers and having 3 steals. With regard to the defense, Kentucky allowed 28.4% from the floor on 19 of 67 shooting. Valparaiso recorded 11 assists and had 4 steals for this game. In addition, Valparaiso grabbed 33 rebounds (12 offensive, 21 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Valparaiso finished 65.0% from the charity stripe by making 13 of 20 attempts. They also made 8 of 34 tries from distance. When it comes to fouls, the Wildcats ended up finishing with 16 and Valparaiso finished the game with 16 fouls.

Malachi Moreno is one player who was important for the game. He finished the game shooting 57.1% from the field and also dished out 3 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 21 minutes and snagged 10 rebounds. He accounted for 18 points on 8 of 14 shooting.

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Kentucky comes into this game with a record of 2-0 this year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 9.5 times per game and as a group are committing 16.5 fouls per contest. As a unit, Kentucky is pulling in 50.5 rebounds per game and is sitting with 48 assists this season, which ranks 27th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Wildcats are hitting 32.7% on 3-pointers (18 of 55) and 70.8% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 92.0 pts per contest (75th in the nation) while connecting on 50.8% from the field.

Defensively, the Wildcats are forcing 10.5 turnovers per game while drawing 17.0 fouls. They give up 20.7% from beyond the arc and they are 20th in college in PPG from their opponents (55.0). The Wildcats defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 29.2% (35 of 120) and they surrender 32.0 boards per game as a group. They rank 93rd in the nation in giving up assists to their opponents with 20 surrendered this year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Louisville Cardinals got the win with a final of 106-70 when they played Jackson State. In reference to rebounding, Louisville permitted Jackson State to pull down 27 in total (7 on the offensive side). They went 40.7% from 3-point land via 11 out of 27 and ended up going 9 out of 16 from the free throw line (56.3%). The Cardinals allowed Jackson State to knock down 25 out of 63 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 39.7% for this contest. At the conclusion of this game, the Cardinals shot 35 for 67 from the field which had them shooting 52.2%. In regard to shooting from 3-point land, Louisville converted 10 of their 33 attempts (30.3%). They were able to knock down 26 of the free throw tries for a rate of 74.3%. Jackson State committed 22 fouls for the game which took the Cardinals to the charity stripe for 35 tries. They turned the ball over 10 times, while getting 11 steals for this contest. The Cardinals pulled down 32 defensive boards and 15 offensive rebounds for a total of 47 for this game.

Ryan Conwell was important for the Cardinals for the game. He knocked down 5 out of 13 in this matchup giving him a rate of 38.5%, and accounted for 8 rebounds. He accumulated 19 points in his 27 mins on the court and tallied 1 assist for the game.

Louisville has a record of 2-0 for the season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Cardinals are hitting on 52.7% from the field, which ranks 39th in D-1. Louisville has accounted for 210 points so far this season (105.0 per game) and they pull down 48.0 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 23.5 times per contest (11th in college hoops) and they turn it over 13.5 times per game. The Cardinals commit 19.5 fouls per contest while shooting 76.5% from the free throw line.

The Cardinals defensively are ranked 36th in college in points allowed per game with 57.5. They are able to force 18.5 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 31.7% from the field (18th in college). The Louisville defense gives up 28.3% from downtown (13 of 46) and opponents are knocking down 68.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 7.5 assists and 31.0 total boards per game, which is ranked 23rd and 92nd in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kentucky

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