Marshall Thundering Herd vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 12/20/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Marshall Thundering Herd vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025

Location: Trojan Arena in Troy, AL

TV: ESPN+

Trojan Arena is the location where the Troy Trojans (7-5) will take on the Marshall Thundering Herd (7-4) on Saturday.

The Marshall Thundering Herd faced off with Wright State and walked away with a win by a score of 76-74 in their last game. Marshall wrapped up the contest having earned a 49.1% field goal percentage (28 of 57) and converted 7 out of their 24 3-pointers. From the charity stripe, the Thundering Herd knocked down 13 of their 16 attempts for a percentage of 81.3%. Concerning getting rebounds, they collected 32 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 14 assists in the matchup while forcing the other team into 5 turnovers and earning 3 steals. When talking about defending, Marshall allowed the other team to shoot 39.7% from the floor on 29 out of 73 shooting. Wright State earned 14 assists and had 8 steals for the game. On top of that, Wright State snagged 34 rebounds (17 offensive, 17 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Wright State ended up shooting 66.7% at the charity stripe by knocking down 4 of 6 attempts. They converted 12 out of their 29 attempts from three-point range. When it comes to fouls, the Thundering Herd ended up finishing with 9 and Wright State recorded 16 fouls.

Wyatt Fricks is a guy who was a major factor for the matchup. He went 75.0% from the field and also earned 1 assist. He was on the court for 33 minutes and also pulled down 3 rebounds. He scored 19 points on 6 of 8 shooting.

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Marshall will play this game with a win-loss record of 7-4 on the campaign. They are turning it over 13.7 times per game and as a team they commit 21.0 fouls every game. As a unit, Marshall is grabbing 38.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 185 dimes for the season, which is 78th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Thundering Herd are hitting 35.8% on 3-pointers (108 of 302) and 76.5% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 79.5 points per contest (145th in college) while going 46.4% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Thundering Herd are forcing 11.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.1 personal fouls. They are ranked 190th in the nation in giving up assists to the opposition with 146 surrendered this season. The Thundering Herd defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 42.0% (286 of 681) and they relinquish 36.0 boards per contest as a unit. They relinquish 33.2% on shots from distance while they are 271st in college in PPG allowed (77.4).

When they last stepped on the court, the Troy Trojans got the win with a final of 86-85 when they played UAB. The Trojans were able to collect 19 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 27 in the matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while recording 6 steals for the contest. UAB committed 13 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Trojans to the free throw line for a total of 16 attempts. They were able to make 12 of them for a clip of 75.0%. In the matter of shots from beyond the arc, Troy made 14 of their 28 tries (50.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Trojans finished 30 out of 61 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 49.2%. The Trojans allowed UAB to convert 34 of 61 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.7% for this game. They finished 38.1% from three-point range by connecting on 8 out of 21 and finished the game at 9 out of 13 at the free throw line (69.2%). In regard to cleaning up the glass, Troy permitted UAB to snag 31 overall (8 on the offensive side).

Victor Valdes was important for the Trojans for the matchup. He scored 26 points in his 29 mins on the court and totaled 5 dimes in the game. He buried 7 out of 15 for the game for a field goal rate of 46.7%, and added 3 rebounds.

Troy has a mark of 7-5 for the year. As an offense, the Trojans are hitting on 45.9% from the floor, which ranks them 166th in Division 1. Troy has 1,068 points so far this year (89.0 per contest) and they average 40.7 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 17.1 times per contest (62nd in college hoops) and they turn it over 13.9 times per contest. The Trojans are responsible for committing 19.2 fouls every game and they connect on 73.1% from the free throw line.

The Trojans on the defensive side of the court are 320th in college in points allowed per game with 80.0. They are able to force 15.9 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.7% from the floor (205th in college hoops). The Troy defense allows 35.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter (96 of 274) and opponents are making 67.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 15.0 dimes and 37.6 boards per contest, which is ranked 286th and 305th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Marshall

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