Memphis Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 12/20/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Memphis Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN2

Humphrey Coliseum is the site where the Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-5) will attempt to beat the Memphis Tigers (4-5) on Saturday.

The Memphis Tigers took the court against Vanderbilt and took a loss by a score of 77-70 in their last game. When discussing personal fouls, the Tigers walked away with 28 and Vanderbilt finished the game with 19 personal fouls. They made 6 of 31 attempts from long range. Vanderbilt finished shooting 77.5% at the free throw line by knocking down 31 of 40 attempts. On top of that, Vanderbilt had 39 rebounds (10 offensive, 29 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Vanderbilt earned 12 dimes and had 16 steals in this matchup. In regard to the defense, Memphis allowed the other team to shoot 32.3% from the field on 20 of 62 shooting. They also distributed 11 assists in the matchup in addition to creating 18 turnovers and getting 13 steals. Concerning grabbing boards, they earned 37 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Tigers made 20 of 26 shots for a percentage of 76.9%. Memphis walked away from the game having earned a 35.9% FG percentage (23 of 64) and buried 4 of their 20 shots from distance.

Dug McDaniel is one player who was a major contributor in the game. He accumulated 18 points on 6 out of 18 shooting. He was on the court for 42 mins and also snagged 5 rebounds. He walked away from this one shooting 33.3% from the field and distributed 4 dimes.

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Memphis comes into this one with a win-loss record of 4-5 for the season. They average 75.7 points per game (226th in the country) while shooting 43.0% from the field. The Tigers are shooting 32.1% on 3-point shots (60 of 187) and 70.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Memphis is pulling in 37.0 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 126 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 328th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 12.9 times per game and as a unit are committing 20.7 fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Tigers have forced 12.6 turnovers per game while drawing 18.6 personal fouls. They are 163rd in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 142 surrendered for the campaign. The Tigers defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.7% (228 of 534) and they surrender 36.4 rebounds per game as a team. They are relinquishing 34.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 263rd in college in PPG allowed (76.9).

The last time they took the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs went home victorious with a score of 87-83 when they faced LIU. Regarding cleaning the glass, Mississippi State permitted LIU to collect 30 overall (6 on the offensive glass). They finished shooting 36.7% from distance by going 11 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 8 of 11 from the free throw line (72.7%). The Bulldogs allowed LIU to make 32 of 68 attempts from the floor which had them at 47.1% for the contest. When this game wrapped up, the Bulldogs went 28 out of 60 from the field which had them shooting 46.7%. When talking about shots from beyond the arc, Mississippi State made 8 of 20 attempts (40.0%). They were able to make 23 of the free throw tries for a clip of 76.7%. LIU earned 20 fouls for this contest which took the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 30 attempts. They gave up possession 9 times, while earning 3 steals for the contest. The Bulldogs were able to collect 28 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 36 for the game.

Josh Hubbard was important for the Bulldogs for the game. He converted 11 of 23 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 47.8%, and added 2 rebounds. He recorded 34 points in his 36 mins of playing time and accounted for 4 dimes in this matchup.

Mississippi State has a record of 6-5 on the season. On the offensive side of the court, the Bulldogs are shooting 45.0% from the floor, which ranks them 204th in Division 1. Mississippi State has earned 874 points on the season (79.5 per contest) and they pull in 40.4 boards per contest. They are getting an assist 13.0 times per contest (285th in the nation) and they are turning it over 11.5 times per game. The Bulldogs are committing 15.2 fouls per game and they go 68.2% from the charity stripe.

The Bulldogs are ranked 294th in Division 1 in points per game surrendered with 78.5. They have forced 9.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 42.5% from the field (138th in college). The Mississippi State defense surrenders 31.5% on shots from distance (91 of 289) and their opponents are making 75.0% of their free throw shots. They allow 14.5 dimes and 39.0 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 259th and 336th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Memphis

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