Missouri State Bears vs UT Arlington Mavericks Prediction, 11/15/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri State Bears vs UT Arlington Mavericks

Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025

Location: College Park Center in Arlington, TX

TV: ESPN+

The UT Arlington Mavericks (2-1) are hosting the Missouri State Bears (2-1) at College Park Center on Saturday.

The Missouri State Bears played Arkansas State and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 86-85 in their last game. Missouri State wrapped up the game with a 46.4% field goal percentage (26 of 56) and made 6 out of their 21 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Bears converted 27 of 37 tries for a rate of 73.0%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 31 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 14 assists for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Pertaining to defending, Missouri State let their opponent shoot 44.6% from the floor on 29 of 65 shooting. Arkansas State doled out 11 assists and had 6 steals in this contest. Furthermore, Arkansas State collected 38 rebounds (13 offensive, 25 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Arkansas State shot 79.3% at the charity stripe by knocking down 23 of 29 shots. They also knocked down 5 of 22 attempts from 3-point range. In the matter of personal fouls, the Bears ended up finishing with 23 and Arkansas State finished the game with 27 personal fouls.

Michael Osei-Bonsu is someone who was a contributor for the game. He finished the contest at 71.4% from the field and also recorded 4 assists. He played 24 minutes played and snagged 10 boards. He accumulated 21 points on 5 of 7 shooting.

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Missouri State will play this contest with a record of 2-1 so far this year. They average 93.0 pts per game (48th in D-1) while hitting 49.3% from the field. The Bears are connecting on 27.3% on shots from 3-point land (21 of 77) and 70.7% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Missouri State is pulling in 45.7 boards per game and has totaled 60 dimes so far this season, which is 39th in the country in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 10.7 times per game and as a team are committing 17.0 personal fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Bears are forcing 13.7 turnovers per game while drawing 21.7 personal fouls. They rank 162nd in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 36 relinquished on the season. The Bears are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 40.1% (79 of 197) and they concede 35.7 boards per contest as a unit. They concede 24.2% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 175th in D-1 in PPG from their opponents (71.0).

The last time they took the court, the UT Arlington Mavericks went home victorious with a score of 117-61 against Arlington Baptist. The Mavericks collected 34 defensive boards and 20 offensive boards totaling 54 in the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 12 times, while earning 13 steals for the matchup. Arlington Baptist was called for 17 fouls in this contest which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 19 tries. They were able to knock down 11 of the free throws for a percentage of 57.9%. With regard to three-point attempts, UT Arlington converted 10 out of 25 tries (40.0%). When this game wrapped up, the Mavericks walked away from this one shooting 48 for 84 from the floor which had them shooting 57.1%. The Mavericks permitted Arlington Baptist to knock down 23 out of 60 tries from the field which had them shooting 38.3% for the matchup. They went 36.4% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 4 of 11 and ended up going 11 out of 17 at the charity stripe (64.7%). In regard to how they attacked the glass, UT Arlington permitted Arlington Baptist to get 22 in total (2 offensive).

Raysean Seamster was important for the Mavericks for the matchup. He buried 9 out of 11 in this matchup giving him a rate of 81.8%, and had 3 rebounds. He earned 19 points in his 20 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 2 assists for the matchup.

UT Arlington has a mark of 2-1 for the season. The Mavericks are committing 20.0 fouls per game and they hit 67.1% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 19.3 times per contest (49th in Division 1) and they are giving up possession 16.0 times per contest. UT Arlington has totaled 264 points for the season (88.0 per game) and they average 51.7 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Mavericks are hitting on 49.3% from the floor, which is 92nd in the nation.

The UT Arlington defense gives up 23.1% on 3-pointers (12 of 52) and their opposition knocks down 71.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 10.3 dimes and 27.7 rebounds per contest, which is 71st and 29th in those categories. The Mavericks defensively are ranked 24th in college in PPG surrendered with 58.3. They have forced 17.0 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 32.2% from the floor (10th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Missouri State

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