Montana State Bobcats vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction, 12/16/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montana State Bobcats vs Cal Poly Mustangs

Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Location: Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, CA

TV: ESPN+

Mott Athletics Center is where the Cal Poly Mustangs (5-6) will attempt to beat the Montana State Bobcats (4-7) on Tuesday.

The Montana State Bobcats played Oregon State and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 67-57 in their last contest. Montana State ended the contest having earned a 36.8% field goal percentage (21 of 57) and converted 6 out of their 25 3-point shots. At the free throw line, the Bobcats made 9 of 15 tries for a percentage of 60.0%. Regarding hauling in rebounds, they earned 33 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 9 assists in this contest while forcing 11 turnovers and having 7 steals. In relation to defending, Montana State allowed their opponent to shoot 42.2% from the floor on 19 out of 45 shooting. Oregon State earned 11 assists and had 7 steals in this contest. In addition, Oregon State collected 32 rebounds (4 offensive, 28 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Oregon State ended up going 82.1% at the free throw line by making 23 of their 28 tries. They also made 6 of their 20 shots from 3-point range. With respect to personal fouls, the Bobcats ended up finishing with 23 and Oregon State accumulated 14 personal fouls.

Patrick McMahon is a player who had an impact for the matchup. He ended up walking away with 17 points on 7 out of 15 shooting. He was on the court for 30 mins and snagged 7 rebounds. He finished the game at 46.7% from the field and distributed 2 dimes.

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Montana State comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 4-7 so far this season. They are turning it over 11.1 times per game and as a unit they commit 18.1 fouls per game. As a unit, Montana State is grabbing 33.2 boards per contest and has accounted for 129 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 307th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. The Bobcats are shooting 35.3% on 3-pointers (107 of 303) and 72.8% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 77.2 points per game (194th in D-1) while connecting on 47.3% from the field.

Defensively, the Bobcats are forcing 12.7 turnovers per game while drawing 15.6 fouls. They relinquish 29.4% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 104th in college in PPG from their opponents (69.6). The Bobcats defense is giving up a FG percentage of 45.1% (273 of 605) and they surrender 32.4 boards per contest as a squad. They are ranked 97th in the nation in giving up assists with 126 surrendered for the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Cal Poly Mustangs went home defeated by a final of 88-84 when they faced UC Riverside. The Mustangs were able to collect 23 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 32 for this contest. They turned it over 11 times, while getting 2 steals for the matchup. UC Riverside had 25 fouls for this game which took the Mustangs to the free throw line for 26 shots. They were able to bury 21 of the free throw tries for a rate of 80.8%. Regarding shots from beyond the perimeter, Cal Poly converted 9 out of their 29 tries (31.0%). Overall, the Mustangs shot 27 for 57 from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.4%. The Mustangs permitted UC Riverside to make 34 out of their 63 tries from the floor which had them shooting 54.0% for the game. They went 22.2% from beyond the perimeter by going 4 of 18 and finished the game at 16 out of 24 at the charity stripe (66.7%). In relation to team rebounding, Cal Poly permitted UC Riverside to snag 30 overall (9 offensive).

Hamad Mousa pitched in for the Mustangs in this contest. He made 8 out of 14 in the matchup for a rate of 57.1%, and tallied 9 rebounds. He accumulated 31 points in his 36 minutes of playing time and had 4 assists in this game.

Cal Poly has a win-loss record of 5-6 for the season. As an offensive unit, the Mustangs are connecting on 43.7% from the floor, which is 265th in the nation. Cal Poly has scored 911 pts this season (82.8 per contest) and they collect 39.5 boards per game. They are getting an assist 13.5 times per contest (247th in the country) and they lose possession via turnover 17.4 times per game. The Mustangs are committing 21.5 fouls per game and they hit 73.7% from the charity stripe.

The Mustangs on defense are ranked 354th in college hoops in PPG given up with 86.3. They are able to force 13.2 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.5% from the field (282nd in college). The Cal Poly defense allows 33.0% on 3-point shots (105 of 318) and opponents are knocking down 70.8% of their foul shots. They give up 15.9 assists and 37.7 boards per contest, which is 316th and 310th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Montana State

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