New Mexico Lobos vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, 1/25/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs UNLV Rebels

Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

The UNLV Rebels (11-8) are welcoming the New Mexico Lobos (16-4) at Thomas & Mack Center on Saturday.

The New Mexico Lobos stepped onto the hardwood against Fresno State and walked away with a win by a score of 95-67 in their last contest. New Mexico finished the game having earned a 48.7% FG percentage (38 out of 78) and buried 13 out of their 30 3-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Lobos knocked down 6 of their 11 attempts for a percentage of 54.5%. In reference to hauling in boards, they earned a total of 48 with 11 of them being offensive. They also doled out 23 assists in this matchup while forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and getting 8 steals. Pertaining to the defense, New Mexico allowed the other team to go 36.2% from the field on 25 out of 69 shooting. Fresno State totaled 17 assists and had 9 steals for the game. In addition, Fresno State snagged 30 rebounds (6 offensive, 24 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Fresno State shot 80.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 12 of their 15 shots. They made 5 of their 25 attempts from three-point range. When it comes to fouls, the Lobos ended up finishing with 15 and Fresno State had 11 fouls.

Donovan Dent is a guy who was a major contributor in this matchup. He ended up shooting 52.9% from the field and also distributed 9 assists. He saw the court for 32 minutes played and collected 4 boards. He accumulated 20 points on 9 of 17 shooting.

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New Mexico will play this game with a win-loss record of 16-4 on the campaign. They turn it over 11.8 times per contest and as a team they commit 18.0 fouls every game. As a team, New Mexico is pulling down 40.3 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 337 dimes this year, which is 10th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. The Lobos are shooting 35.1% on shots from 3-point land (150 of 427) and 68.9% from the charity stripe. They average 83.9 points per game (21st in the country) while hitting 46.0% from the floor.

On defense, the Lobos are able to force 16.0 turnovers every game and they draw 19.0 personal fouls. They surrender 35.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 216th in college hoops in PPG from their opponents (72.4). The Lobos are allowing a field goal percentage of 43.0% (515 of 1,199) and they relinquish 36.4 boards per contest as a team. They rank 329th in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 297 conceded on the year.

When they last played, the UNLV Rebels took a loss by a final score of 63-61 when they played Wyoming. When talking about how they attacked the glass, UNLV allowed Wyoming to pull down 35 in all (7 on the offensive side). They went 50.0% from downtown by going 14 out of 28 and walked away from this one shooting 5 out of 8 from the charity stripe (62.5%). The Rebels allowed Wyoming to convert 22 out of 48 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 45.8% for the game. When the final whistle blew, the Rebels shot 23 for 58 from the field which gave them a rate of 39.7%. Regarding shots from beyond the arc, UNLV buried 5 of 19 attempts (26.3%). They were able to convert 10 of those for a rate of 58.8%. Wyoming was called for 16 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Rebels to the free throw line for a total of 17 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 5 times, while earning 10 steals in this matchup. The Rebels corralled 19 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 28 in this game.

Dedan Thomas Jr. was important for the Rebels in this game. He accumulated 17 points in his 37 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 4 assists in this contest. He knocked down 7 out of 17 in this contest for a rate of 41.2%, and had 2 rebounds.

UNLV has a win-loss record of 11-8 this year. The Rebels are responsible for committing 15.6 personal fouls every game and they connect on 71.3% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 12.5 times per contest (276th in the nation) and they turn it over 10.3 times per contest. UNLV has tallied 1,352 points this season (71.2 per contest) and they grab 32.5 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Rebels are shooting 45.1% from the field, which ranks 168th in the country.

The UNLV defense gives up 35.4% on three-point shots (168 of 475) and their opponents are knocking down 71.6% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 15.7 assists and 35.7 boards per game, which has them ranked 337th and 258th in those categories. The Rebels on defense are ranked 138th in D-1 in points given up per game with 70.1. They are forcing 12.9 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the field (175th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take UNLV

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