North Carolina Tar Heels vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 11/27/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Michigan State Spartans

Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025

Location: Suncoast Credit Union Arena in Fort Myers, FL

TV: FOX

Suncoast Credit Union Arena is the site where the Michigan State Spartans (6-0) will attempt to defeat the North Carolina Tar Heels (6-0) on Thursday.

The North Carolina Tar Heels took the court against St. Bonaventure and took home the win by a score of 85-70 in their last contest. Regarding fouls, the Tar Heels walked away with 13 while St. Bonaventure recorded 16 fouls. They buried 7 of 17 tries from long range. St. Bonaventure finished 62.5% from the charity stripe by knocking down 5 of their 8 attempts. Additionally, St. Bonaventure snagged 28 rebounds (9 offensive, 19 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. St. Bonaventure recorded 13 assists and had 8 steals in this game. In reference to defense, North Carolina allowed their opponent to shoot 41.4% from the field on 29 of 70 shooting. They also recorded 16 dimes in this contest as well as forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and having 5 steals. When discussing pulling down boards, they earned 36 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Tar Heels buried 21 of their 27 attempts for a rate of 77.8%. North Carolina finished with a 50.9% field goal percentage (28 of 55) and converted 8 of their 18 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Henri Veesaar is someone who was a contributor for the game. He ended up finishing with 24 points on 9 of 14 shooting. He played 35 minutes and also collected 13 rebounds. He ended up shooting 64.3% from the field and also recorded 3 dimes.

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North Carolina heads into this contest with a record of 6-0 this season. They are losing possession via turnover 11.7 times per game and as a group are committing 15.8 fouls every game. As a unit, North Carolina is collecting 45.8 boards per game and has totaled 106 assists this season, which ranks 110th in college in terms of passing the ball. The Tar Heels are connecting on 34.0% on shots from 3-point land (53 of 156) and 72.1% from the free throw line. They are averaging 87.5 pts per contest (61st in the country) while hitting 48.1% from the field.

Defensively, the Tar Heels are forcing 11.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.5 fouls. They are currently ranked 42nd in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 62 surrendered this season. The Tar Heels are giving up a FG percentage of 34.3% (136 of 397) and they relinquish 33.2 boards per contest as a group. They surrender 31.8% from 3-point land and they rank 37th in D-1 in points per game allowed (64.3).

In their last game, the Michigan State Spartans walked away with a victory by a final of 89-56 when they played East Carolina. With respect to rebounds, Michigan State allowed East Carolina to pull down 25 in total (3 offensive). They shot 40.0% from 3-point land by shooting 6 out of 15 and finished the contest at 18 out of 26 from the charity stripe (69.2%). The Spartans permitted East Carolina to make 16 of 48 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 33.3% for the matchup. When all was said and done, the Spartans finished 34 out of 67 from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.7%. In terms of shots from downtown, Michigan State knocked down 13 of 28 attempts (46.4%). They were able to make 8 of those for a percentage of 66.7%. East Carolina committed 11 fouls for the game which got the Spartans to the charity stripe for 12 tries. They also coughed up the ball 11 times, while getting 13 steals in the matchup. The Spartans earned 25 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 37 in this matchup.

Divine Ugochukwu was important for the Spartans in the matchup. He accumulated 16 points in his 16 mins on the court and accumulated 2 assists for this game. He made 6 out of 7 in the matchup for a rate of 85.7%, and had 2 rebounds.

Michigan State has a record of 6-0 this year. On the offensive side of the court, the Spartans are shooting 46.4% from the floor, which is 151st in the nation. Michigan State has earned 484 pts on the campaign (80.7 per game) and they pull down 43.2 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 21.2 times per game (4th in Division 1) and they are turning it over 11.5 times per game. The Spartans commit 16.2 fouls per contest and they go 69.9% from the free throw line.

The Spartans on the defensive side of the court are 18th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 62.2. They are forcing their opponents into 14.0 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 38.0% from the field (36th in college hoops). The Michigan State defense allows 29.5% on shots from distance (44 of 149) and opponents are making 72.8% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 11.7 assists and 29.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 95th and 29th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take North Carolina

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