Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs Incarnate Word Cardinals Prediction, 12/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs Incarnate Word Cardinals

Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025

Location: McDermott Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (5-6) are on their way to McDermott Center on Sunday where they will try to beat the Incarnate Word Cardinals (5-6).

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks played Southern Utah and earned the victory with a final of 65-57 in their last game. Northern Arizona walked away from the game with a 42.1% field goal percentage (24 of 57) and knocked down 6 of their 12 three-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Lumberjacks knocked down 11 of 17 attempts for a percentage of 64.7%. Concerning grabbing boards, they earned 32 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 9 assists in the game in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and getting 11 steals. In terms of defense, Northern Arizona let their opponent shoot 41.5% from the floor on 22 of 53 shooting. Southern Utah recorded 9 dimes and had 3 steals in this game. Additionally, Southern Utah totaled 35 rebounds (8 offensive, 27 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Southern Utah ended up going 66.7% from the charity stripe by converting 8 of 12 attempts. They also converted 5 of their 13 tries from beyond the arc. When discussing fouls, the Lumberjacks walked away with 16 and Southern Utah accumulated 18 fouls.

Ryan Abelman is one player who was a factor for this game. He accounted for 24 points on 8 of 11 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 38 minutes played and collected 5 boards. He shot 72.7% from the floor and distributed 1 assist.

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Northern Arizona comes into this matchup with a record of 5-6 for the campaign. They lose possession via turnover 11.5 times per game and as a squad they commit 17.9 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Northern Arizona is pulling down 34.7 rebounds per game and has racked up 142 assists on the year, which ranks 306th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Lumberjacks are connecting on 34.9% on shots from 3-point land (75 of 215) and 65.3% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 72.6 pts per game (290th in D-1) while hitting 45.5% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Lumberjacks are forcing 13.6 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.3 fouls. They rank 185th in college in giving up assists with 153 surrendered so far this season. The Lumberjacks are giving up a shooting percentage of 44.3% (290 of 655) and they concede 37.8 rebounds per game as a team. They give up 34.5% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 187th in college hoops in points per game allowed (73.3).

When they last stepped on the court, the Incarnate Word Cardinals took a loss by a score of 69-65 when they faced TCU. When it comes to how they cleaned up the glass, Incarnate Word permitted TCU to get 31 in total (8 offensive). They finished the game shooting 18.8% from downtown via 3 of 16 and finished the contest at 18 out of 25 from the free throw line (72.0%). The Cardinals permitted TCU to make 24 of 51 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.1% in this game. Overall, the Cardinals shot 25 for 57 from the field which had them shooting 43.9%. In relation to shots from 3-point land, Incarnate Word made 10 out of their 23 attempts (43.5%). They were able to knock down 5 of them for a clip of 55.6%. TCU earned 11 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Cardinals to the charity stripe for a total of 9 attempts. They coughed it up 11 times, while recording 4 steals for the contest. The Cardinals recorded 19 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards totaling 24 in the game.

Davion Bailey pitched in for the Cardinals in the game. He made 10 out of 22 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 45.5%, and earned 5 rebounds. He had 32 points in his 38 mins of playing time and had 1 assist for this game.

Incarnate Word has a record of 5-6 so far this season. The Cardinals commit 18.6 personal fouls every game and they go 70.7% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 14.1 times per game (216th in college) and they are turning it over 10.5 times per contest. Incarnate Word has totaled 908 points so far this year (82.5 per contest) and they pull down 36.2 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Cardinals are hitting on 47.5% from the field, which is ranked 92nd in the country.

The Incarnate Word defense gives up 33.3% on shots from 3-point land (72 of 216) and their opposition makes 76.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrender 12.8 dimes and 30.8 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 143rd and 37th in the nation. The Cardinals defensively are ranked 214th in college in points allowed per game with 74.4. They have forced 11.6 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.9% from the floor (297th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Incarnate Word

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