Sacramento State Hornets vs UC Davis Aggies Prediction, 11/14/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sacramento State Hornets vs UC Davis Aggies

Date: Friday, November 14, 2025

Location: University Credit Union Center in Davis, CA

TV: ESPN+

University Credit Union Center is the location where the UC Davis Aggies (2-1) will meet the Sacramento State Hornets (2-1) on Friday.

The Sacramento State Hornets took the court against UC Santa Barbara and went home with a loss by a final score of 92-87 in their last contest. With respect to fouls, the Hornets ended up finishing with 18 and UC Santa Barbara accounted for 19 fouls. They buried 13 of their 27 tries from 3-point range. UC Santa Barbara went 76.0% from the free throw line by burying 19 of their 25 attempts. Moreover, UC Santa Barbara collected 34 rebounds (8 offensive, 26 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. UC Santa Barbara earned 18 dimes and had 9 steals for the matchup. In the matter of defending, Sacramento State allowed 47.6% from the field on 30 out of 63 shooting. They also doled out 18 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 32 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Hornets made 15 of their 23 attempts for a percentage of 65.2%. Sacramento State wrapped up the game having earned a 52.5% FG percentage (31 of 59) and made 10 of their 21 three-point shots.

Mikey Williams is one guy who had an impact for the matchup. He ended up with 30 points on 10 out of 16 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 39 mins and collected 2 rebounds. He walked away from this one shooting 62.5% from the floor and also earned 5 dimes.

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Sacramento State will take the court with a mark of 2-1 for the campaign. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.3 times per contest and as a team are committing 19.0 fouls per game. As a unit, Sacramento State is collecting 41.0 rebounds per game and has earned 56 dimes so far this year, which ranks 76th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Hornets are shooting 46.8% on 3-pointers (36 of 77) and 73.4% from the free throw line. They average 92.0 pts per contest (60th in the nation) while hitting 49.5% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Hornets are forcing 9.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.0 fouls. They relinquish 36.3% from 3-point land while they are 299th in D-1 in PPG allowed (82.3). The Hornets defense is giving up a FG percentage of 41.2% (87 of 211) and they surrender 39.3 rebounds per contest as a squad. They rank 318th in college in giving up assists with 51 conceded this year.

When they last played, the UC Davis Aggies took a loss by a score of 67-63 against Portland. The Aggies were able to collect 24 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive boards totaling 38 in this contest. They turned the ball over 16 times, while earning 5 steals for the game. Portland earned 20 personal fouls for this contest which took the Aggies to the free throw line for a total of 16 shots. They were able to knock down 12 of the free throws for a clip of 75.0%. Concerning three-point shots, UC Davis knocked down 7 out of their 33 attempts (21.2%). In all, the Aggies finished shooting 22 for 61 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 36.1%. The Aggies permitted Portland to knock down 22 of 54 tries from the floor which had them shooting 40.7% for the matchup. They shot 31.8% from distance by going 7 out of 22 and ended up going 16 out of 22 from the free throw line (72.7%). With respect to cleaning the glass, UC Davis allowed Portland to get 31 overall (10 on the offensive side).

Isaiah Chappell ended up being a factor for the Aggies for this contest. He converted 5 of 10 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and earned 7 rebounds. He had 14 points in his 24 minutes on the hardwood and had 3 assists in this game.

UC Davis has a win-loss record of 2-1 for the year. The Aggies have committed 19.7 fouls per contest and they go 68.3% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 15.7 times per game (165th in college) and they are turning it over 15.3 times per contest. UC Davis has totaled 239 points for the campaign (79.7 per game) and they pull down 38.0 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Aggies are connecting on 46.7% from the field, which ranks them 164th in college.

The Aggies are ranked 130th in college hoops in points given up per game with 68.0. They are able to force 17.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 39.7% from the field (123rd in Division 1). The UC Davis defense surrenders 25.0% on 3-point attempts (16 of 64) and opponents are connecting on 69.7% of their foul shots. They give up 11.7 assists and 35.3 boards every game, which is ranked 127th and 191st in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take UC Davis

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