Saint Louis Billikens vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 3/18/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Saint Louis Billikens vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Location: First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Saint Louis (+4)

The Saint Louis Billikens (19-14) are hitting the road to First National Bank Arena on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Arkansas State Red Wolves (24-10) in the 1st round of the NIT. Arkansas State opens as 4-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 151.5.

The Saint Louis Billikens stepped onto the hardwood against Loyola and went home with a loss by a final score of 72-64 in their last contest. In the matter of fouls, the Billikens ended up finishing with 17 and Loyola finished the game with 15 fouls. They knocked down 6 out of their 17 shots from beyond the arc. Loyola ended up going 66.7% at the charity stripe by converting 14 of their 21 attempts. Furthermore, Loyola had 34 rebounds (8 offensive, 26 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Loyola dished out 12 assists and had 6 steals for this game. With regard to defense, Saint Louis let their opponent shoot 45.6% from the floor on 26 out of 57 shooting. They also recorded 10 assists for this game as well as forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and getting 5 steals. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they earned 27 with 5 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Billikens made 12 of 18 attempts for a percentage of 66.7%. Saint Louis wrapped up the game with a 43.1% FG percentage (22 of 51) and converted 8 of their 26 three-point shots.

Isaiah Swope is someone who was a major contributor in this contest. He left the arena with 30 points on 11 of 22 shooting. He played 38 minutes and grabbed 4 boards. He finished shooting 50.0% from the field and also recorded 3 dimes.

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Saint Louis enters this one with a record of 19-14 on the year. They average 74.2 pts per contest (164th in Division 1) while shooting 47.6% from the field. The Billikens are hitting 35.4% on shots from 3-point land (325 of 919) and 68.7% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Saint Louis is collecting 35.3 boards per game and has earned 497 dimes on the year, which has them ranked 80th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession via turnover 12.7 times per contest and as a team they are committing 14.7 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Billikens are able to force 10.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 15.6 personal fouls. They relinquish 32.5% on 3-point shots while they are 128th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (70.3). The Billikens defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 41.8% (853 of 2,043) and they relinquish 34.8 boards per contest as a squad. They rank 116th in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 404 surrendered this year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Arkansas State Red Wolves took a loss by a final score of 94-81 when they faced Troy. The Red Wolves were able to collect 18 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 30 for the game. They turned it over 12 times, while earning 4 steals for this contest. Troy earned 21 personal fouls for this contest which got the Red Wolves to the free throw line for a total of 24 tries. They were able to convert 19 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 79.2%. When talking about three-point shots, Arkansas State converted 10 out of their 26 attempts (38.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Red Wolves shot 26 for 63 from the floor which had them sitting at 41.3%. The Red Wolves allowed Troy to convert 28 of 60 tries from the floor which had them shooting 46.7% in this game. They finished shooting 29.4% from 3-point land by shooting 5 of 17 and ended up going 33 out of 39 from the free throw line (84.6%). When discussing attacking the glass, Arkansas State permitted Troy to grab 33 in total (9 offensive).

Dyondre Dominguez ended up having an impact for the Red Wolves for the matchup. He converted 6 of 9 in the game for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and added 5 rebounds. He accumulated 19 points in his 24 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist for the contest.

Arkansas State has a mark of 24-10 on the campaign. When it comes to offensive execution, the Red Wolves are shooting 42.4% from the field, which ranks them 305th in the nation. Arkansas State has totaled 2,692 points on the campaign (79.2 per game) and they collect 40.9 boards per game. They are earning an assist 14.1 times per game (145th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 10.7 times per contest. The Red Wolves are responsible for committing 18.4 personal fouls per game and they go 73.0% from the charity stripe.

The Red Wolves on the defensive end are ranked 124th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 70.1. They have forced 12.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 40.2% from the floor (24th in college). The Arkansas State defense gives up 30.0% on shots from beyond the arc (210 of 700) and opponents are converting on 70.5% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 11.9 dimes and 37.9 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 73rd and 338th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arkansas State (-4)

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