Samford Bulldogs vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 11/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Samford Bulldogs vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Friday, November 21, 2025

Location: Pan American Center in Las Cruces, NM

TV: ESPN+

The Samford Bulldogs (3-3) are hitting the road to Pan American Center on Friday where they will compete against the New Mexico State Aggies (3-0).

The Samford Bulldogs faced Florida Gulf Coast and took a loss by a score of 77-62 in their last game. Samford ended having earned a 33.9% field goal percentage (21 out of 62) and converted 7 of their 26 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Bulldogs knocked down 13 of 24 tries for a percentage of 54.2%. In reference to grabbing boards, they earned 30 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 11 dimes for this game while forcing 16 turnovers and having 6 steals. When talking about the defense, Samford allowed their opponent to shoot 50.8% from the field on 30 out of 59 shooting. Florida Gulf Coast earned 16 assists and had 7 steals for the game. Additionally, Florida Gulf Coast collected 44 rebounds (12 offensive, 32 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Florida Gulf Coast finished the game shooting 66.7% at the free throw line by knocking down 10 of their 15 attempts. They also converted 7 of their 16 tries from beyond the arc. When it comes to personal fouls, the Bulldogs walked away with 13 and Florida Gulf Coast recorded 18 personal fouls.

Jadin Booth is a guy who came through for this game. He accumulated 27 points on 7 of 13 shooting. He played 36 minutes played and pulled down 1 board. He ended up shooting 53.8% from the field and distributed 1 assist.

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Samford heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 3-3 this year. They have an average of 78.0 points per game (209th in D-1) while hitting 41.2% from the field. The Bulldogs are shooting 34.9% on three-point shots (65 of 186) and 66.0% from the free throw line. As a team, Samford is collecting 36.8 boards per contest and is sitting with 90 assists for the season, which has them ranked 40th in the nation in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 9.3 times per contest and as a team are committing 15.5 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Bulldogs are able to force 10.7 turnovers every game and they draw 20.0 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 257th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 70 relinquished for the campaign. The Bulldogs defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 48.5% (176 of 363) and they surrender 37.8 rebounds per game as a team. They are surrendering 42.0% on shots from distance and they rank 290th in the nation in points per game allowed (80.0).

The last time they took the court, the New Mexico State Aggies went home victorious with a score of 76-68 against New Mexico. With respect to rebounds, New Mexico State permitted New Mexico to collect 35 in all (9 on the offensive glass). They finished 28.6% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 8 of 28 and finished the game at 14 out of 17 from the free throw line (82.4%). The Aggies allowed New Mexico to make 23 out of 55 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.8% for the game. When the final whistle blew, the Aggies shot 23 for 56 from the floor which gave them a rate of 41.1%. With regard to three-point shots, New Mexico State made 10 of their 32 tries (31.3%). They were able to make 20 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 76.9%. New Mexico committed 19 personal fouls for the contest which took the Aggies to the free throw line for 26 attempts. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while getting 8 steals for the contest. The Aggies were able to snag 22 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 33 for the contest.

Anthony Wrzeszcz ended up being a factor for the Aggies for this contest. He scored 16 points in his 26 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 3 dimes for the contest. He buried 5 out of 9 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 55.6%, but couldn't coral a rebound.

New Mexico State has a record of 3-0 on the year. The Aggies commit 20.7 fouls per contest while shooting 67.9% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 13.3 times per game (245th in college) and they are turning it over 12.0 times per game. New Mexico State has totaled 233 pts so far this year (77.7 per contest) and they collect 35.7 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Aggies are hitting on 43.8% from the field, which is ranked 245th in the country.

The New Mexico State defense gives up 26.7% from downtown (20 of 75) and opponents are connecting on 76.5% of their free throw shots. They surrender 9.7 dimes and 34.7 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 29th and 164th in college. The Aggies on the defensive end are ranked 69th in college hoops in points allowed per contest with 66.0. They are forcing 18.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 39.1% from the field (81st in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New Mexico State

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