SE Missouri State Redhawks vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction, 11/25/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SE Missouri State Redhawks vs Cal Poly Mustangs

Date: Tuesday, November 25, 2025

Location: J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome in Flagstaff, AZ

TV: ESPN+

The SE Missouri State Redhawks (1-4) are traveling to J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome on Tuesday where they will take on the Cal Poly Mustangs (3-3).

The SE Missouri State Redhawks stepped onto the hardwood against Iowa and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 99-70 in their last game. SE Missouri State walked away from the game having earned a 52.0% FG percentage (26 of 50) and converted 6 of their 16 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the charity stripe, the Redhawks made 12 of 21 attempts for a percentage of 57.1%. In the matter of pulling down rebounds, they earned 23 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 10 assists in the matchup while forcing 11 turnovers and getting 4 steals. With respect to defense, SE Missouri State allowed the other team to go 61.2% from the floor on 30 of 49 shooting. Iowa doled out 17 assists and had 11 steals for the contest. Moreover, Iowa collected 28 boards (9 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Iowa ended up shooting 74.4% from the charity stripe by making 29 of 39 tries. They converted 10 of their 23 shots from downtown. In regard to fouls, the Redhawks walked away with 25 and Iowa had 20 fouls.

Luke Almodovar is one guy who was important in this game. He accounted for 15 points on 6 of 9 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 27 minutes and collected 1 rebound. He walked away from this one shooting 66.7% from the field but had no dimes when the game ended.

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SE Missouri State enters this game with a mark of 1-4 so far this year. They are turning it over 12.4 times per game and as a team they commit 20.6 personal fouls every game. As a unit, SE Missouri State is pulling down 30.6 boards per game and has tallied 66 assists this year, which is 302nd in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Redhawks are shooting 29.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (33 of 112) and 65.7% from the free throw line. They are averaging 76.0 pts per contest (233rd in Division 1) while shooting 45.8% from the field.

Defensively, the Redhawks are forcing 16.2 turnovers per game while drawing 18.0 fouls. They are relinquishing 35.6% on 3-point shots while they are 307th in college hoops in opponents PPG (81.0). The Redhawks are allowing a field goal percentage of 50.2% (138 of 275) and they relinquish 34.0 rebounds per contest as a team. They are ranked 74th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 59 surrendered on the campaign.

For their last game, the Cal Poly Mustangs walked away with a victory by a final of 92-85 when they played Utah. The Mustangs were able to snag 29 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 37 in the matchup. They turned it over 18 times, while earning 8 steals for the matchup. Utah committed 26 fouls in this game which took the Mustangs to the charity stripe for a total of 31 shots. They were able to convert 18 of those for a clip of 58.1%. Concerning shots from downtown, Cal Poly converted 14 of their 25 tries (56.0%). Overall, the Mustangs walked away from this one shooting 30 for 60 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. The Mustangs permitted Utah to convert 29 of 63 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 46.0% in the game. They finished shooting 33.3% from distance by going 9 out of 27 and ended up going 18 of 22 at the free throw line (81.8%). When talking about team rebounding, Cal Poly allowed Utah to snag 27 overall (5 offensive).

Cayden Ward was important for the Mustangs in this matchup. He made 9 out of 14 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 64.3%, and had 8 rebounds. He earned 28 points in his 33 mins on the court and earned 1 assist for the matchup.

Cal Poly has a record of 3-3 on the campaign. As an offensive team, the Mustangs are connecting on 42.5% from the floor, which ranks 289th in college hoops. Cal Poly has 491 points for the season (81.8 per contest) and they average 41.3 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 13.3 times per game (246th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 16.7 times per contest. The Mustangs have committed 22.2 fouls every game and they connect on 67.6% from the charity stripe.

The Cal Poly defense concedes 34.2% on shots from 3-point land (65 of 190) and their opponents are converting on 74.1% of their free throw shots. They have given up 19.2 dimes and 37.3 rebounds per game, which ranks them 358th and 271st in Division 1. The Mustangs on the defensive side of the court are 339th in Division 1 in points given up per game with 85.3. They are forcing 14.2 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.4% from the field (234th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take SE Missouri State

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