SMU Mustangs vs LSU Tigers Prediction, 12/13/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs LSU Tigers

Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025

Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA

TV: SEC Network

The LSU Tigers (8-1) will go up against the SMU Mustangs (9-1) at Smoothie King Center on Saturday.

The SMU Mustangs took the court against Texas A&M and walked away with a win by a score of 93-80 in their last game. SMU finished having earned a 47.0% field goal percentage (31 of 66) and made 5 of their 22 3-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Mustangs buried 26 of their 28 attempts for a rate of 92.9%. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they earned a total of 35 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 17 assists in this contest in addition to creating 16 turnovers and having 9 steals. When discussing defense, SMU allowed their opponent to shoot 35.2% from the field on 25 out of 71 shooting. Texas A&M recorded 21 dimes and had 6 steals in the game. Furthermore, Texas A&M grabbed 37 rebounds (13 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Texas A&M finished shooting 64.7% at the charity stripe by knocking down 22 of 34 shots. They converted 8 out of their 34 shots from distance. When it comes to personal fouls, the Mustangs ended up walking away with 26 while Texas A&M had 24 personal fouls.

Jaron Pierre Jr. is someone who played a role in the matchup. He accumulated 35 points on 13 out of 21 shooting. He was on the court for 41 mins and totaled 5 rebounds. He finished shooting 61.9% from the field but didn't record an assist.

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SMU comes into this contest with a record of 9-1 this year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.8 times per game and as a team they are committing 17.5 fouls every game. As a team, SMU is grabbing 40.6 boards per game and has racked up 181 assists on the campaign, which ranks 32nd in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Mustangs are connecting on 32.7% on shots from beyond the arc (67 of 205) and 77.9% from the free throw line. They have an average of 89.8 points per contest (19th in Division 1) while connecting on 48.6% from the field.

On defense, the Mustangs are forcing 14.6 turnovers per game while drawing 21.7 personal fouls. They are 300th in college in giving up assists with 152 relinquished on the year. The Mustangs are giving up a FG percentage of 40.3% (260 of 645) and they surrender 36.6 rebounds per game as a team. They give up 28.4% from 3-point land and they are ranked 250th in college in opponents points per game (76.0).

When they last stepped on the court, the LSU Tigers took a loss by a score of 82-58 when they faced Texas Tech. When discussing rebounding, LSU allowed Texas Tech to snag 45 in total (11 on the offensive glass). They finished 48.1% from 3-point land via 13 of 27 and ended up shooting 13 of 18 from the free throw line (72.2%). The Tigers allowed Texas Tech to make 28 of their 60 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.7% in this game. Overall, the Tigers finished shooting 21 out of 63 from the field which gave them a percentage of 33.3%. In reference to shooting from downtown, LSU buried 4 out of 24 tries (16.7%). They were able to convert 12 of them for a rate of 63.2%. Texas Tech earned 16 personal fouls in the game which got the Tigers to the free throw line for a total of 19 tries. They turned it over 9 times, while recording 9 steals in the game. The Tigers were able to corral 23 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 32 for the game.

Dedan Thomas Jr. pitched in for the Tigers in the game. He totaled 13 points in his 33 minutes on the court and had 1 assist for the contest. He made 5 out of 14 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 35.7%, but wasn't able to grab a rebound.

LSU has a record of 8-1 on the year. As an offensive team, the Tigers are shooting 50.5% from the field, which has them ranked 30th in the country. LSU has scored 796 pts on the season (88.4 per contest) and they pull in 42.3 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 15.8 times per contest (119th in college) and they cough up possession 11.1 times per contest. The Tigers have committed 17.3 fouls per game and they go 77.2% from the charity stripe.

The Tigers are ranked 107th in college hoops in PPG given up with 69.9. They are forcing their opponents into 11.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 39.4% from the field (44th in D-1). The LSU defense concedes 33.0% from downtown (77 of 233) and their opposition makes 62.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 11.3 assists and 33.0 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 61st and 114th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take SMU

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