SMU Mustangs vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/28/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Friday, November 28, 2025

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SECN+

The SMU Mustangs (7-0) are headed to Humphrey Coliseum on Friday where they will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3).

The SMU Mustangs faced off with Radford and walked away with a win by a score of 89-72 in their last game. In the matter of fouls, the Mustangs ended up finishing with 16 and Radford recorded 21 fouls. They also made 11 of 39 attempts from beyond the arc. Radford ended up going 83.3% from the charity stripe by converting 15 of 18 shots. Moreover, Radford pulled down 30 rebounds (6 offensive, 24 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Radford distributed 12 assists and had 12 steals for this contest. With respect to defense, SMU let their opponent shoot 33.3% from the floor on 23 out of 69 shooting. They also recorded 17 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and earning 6 steals. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they earned 46 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Mustangs knocked down 25 of their 32 tries for a rate of 78.1%. SMU walked away from the game with a 45.8% field goal percentage (27 out of 59) and made 10 out of their 26 shots from 3-point land.

Kevin Miller is one player who was a major contributor in this matchup. He ended up scoring 25 points on 5 out of 9 shooting. He played 38 mins played and pulled down 1 board. He finished the game at 55.6% from the field and recorded 10 dimes.

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SMU will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 7-0 this year. They average 92.7 points per contest (26th in the nation) while hitting 50.4% from the floor. The Mustangs are connecting on 37.4% on shots from 3-point land (52 of 139) and 77.8% from the free throw line. As a unit, SMU is pulling down 40.1 rebounds per game and has totaled 136 assists for the season, which ranks 19th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 11.9 times per contest and as a group are committing 17.0 personal fouls every game.

On defense, the Mustangs are forcing 16.9 turnovers per game while drawing 21.3 personal fouls. They currently rank 276th in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 100 surrendered so far this season. The Mustangs defense is allowing a FG percentage of 39.0% (172 of 441) and they relinquish 36.3 rebounds per game as a team. They are surrendering 29.6% on 3-point attempts and they rank 177th in college in points per game allowed (73.0).

When they last stepped on the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs walked away with a victory by a final of 81-78 against New Orleans. The Bulldogs were able to collect 26 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards totaling 38 in the game. They also coughed up the ball 14 times, while getting 10 steals in the matchup. New Orleans had 22 personal fouls in this contest which got the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 29 shots. They were able to make 15 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 51.7%. When discussing shots from distance, Mississippi State knocked down 10 of their 31 tries (32.3%). Overall, the Bulldogs walked away from this one shooting 28 for 65 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.1%. The Bulldogs allowed New Orleans to make 26 out of their 69 attempts from the field which had them at 37.7% in the game. They finished shooting 37.0% from distance by shooting 10 of 27 and finished the contest at 16 of 17 from the free throw line (94.1%). With respect to rebounding, Mississippi State allowed New Orleans to pull down 40 in total (12 offensive).

Josh Hubbard was important for the Bulldogs for the contest. He made 9 out of 21 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 42.9%, and earned 6 rebounds. He recorded 28 points in his 41 minutes on the court and totaled 5 assists in this matchup.

Mississippi State has a mark of 3-3 so far this season. The Bulldogs commit 16.3 personal fouls every game and they hit 65.9% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 14.3 times per contest (198th in Division 1) and they are turning it over 14.0 times per contest. Mississippi State has accumulated 477 pts on the campaign (79.5 per contest) and they collect 40.8 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Bulldogs are shooting 45.1% from the floor, which ranks them 204th in the nation.

The Mississippi State defense gives up 32.7% on shots from 3-point land (49 of 150) and their opponents are connecting on 80.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 15.2 assists and 38.0 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 282nd and 304th in college. The Bulldogs on the defensive end are ranked 294th in the nation in PPG given up with 80.3. They are able to force 10.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 42.6% from the floor (154th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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