SMU Mustangs vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 12/3/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Location: Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville, TN

TV: SEC Network

The SMU Mustangs (8-0) are on their way to Memorial Gymnasium on Wednesday where they will go up against the Vanderbilt Commodores (8-0).

The SMU Mustangs stepped onto the hardwood against Mississippi State and notched a win by a score of 87-81 in their last game. In reference to fouls, the Mustangs walked away with 16 while Mississippi State recorded 23 fouls. They converted 8 of their 28 attempts from beyond the arc. Mississippi State ended up going 76.0% at the free throw line by making 19 of their 25 tries. In addition, Mississippi State totaled 38 rebounds (7 offensive, 31 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Mississippi State earned 11 dimes and had 9 steals in the game. With regard to defending, SMU allowed the other team to go 38.6% from the floor on 27 out of 70 shooting. They also doled out 16 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 7 turnovers and having 3 steals. In terms of rebounding, they compiled a total of 50 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mustangs knocked down 15 of 23 tries for a rate of 65.2%. SMU finished the contest having earned a 44.4% FG percentage (32 of 72) and made 8 out of their 27 shots from beyond the arc.

Kevin Miller is one player who was important for the game. He walked away with 28 points on 9 out of 19 shooting. He saw the court for 39 minutes and pulled down 9 rebounds. He finished shooting 47.4% from the field and earned 3 dimes.

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SMU enters this game with a win-loss mark of 8-0 so far this season. They currently have an average of 92.0 points per game (19th in the country) on 49.6% from the floor. The Mustangs are hitting 36.1% on three-point shots (60 of 166) and 76.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, SMU is grabbing 41.4 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 152 assists this season, which ranks 21st in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 11.8 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 16.9 fouls per contest.

When they are on the defensive end, the Mustangs are forcing 15.6 turnovers every game and they draw 21.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 256th in college in giving up assists with 111 conceded for the campaign. The Mustangs defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 38.9% (199 of 511) and they concede 36.8 rebounds per game as a squad. They are relinquishing 29.5% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 198th in college in points per game allowed (74.0).

The last time they took the court, the Vanderbilt Commodores walked away with a victory by a final of 96-71 when they faced St. Mary's. Concerning how they rebounded, Vanderbilt permitted St. Mary's to pull down 27 in total (5 offensive). They finished the game shooting 33.3% from beyond the perimeter via 7 out of 21 and walked away from this one shooting 18 of 20 at the free throw line (90.0%). The Commodores allowed St. Mary's to make 23 of their 52 attempts from the field which had them sitting at 44.2% in the matchup. When the final whistle was blown, the Commodores went 35 for 67 from the field which gave them a percentage of 52.2%. When talking about three-point attempts, Vanderbilt made 8 of 19 tries (42.1%). They were able to convert 18 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 81.8%. St. Mary's earned 20 fouls for this game which got the Commodores to the charity stripe for a total of 22 tries. They also gave up possession of the ball 6 times, while getting 7 steals in the matchup. The Commodores were able to collect 21 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 in this game.

Duke Miles ended up being important for the Commodores for this game. He buried 9 out of 16 in the game for a rate of 56.3%, and had 4 rebounds. He had 25 points in his 30 minutes on the court and totaled 4 assists in this contest.

Vanderbilt has a win-loss mark of 8-0 on the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Commodores are hitting on 52.1% from the floor, which ranks 17th in the country. Vanderbilt has totaled 783 pts on the year (97.9 per game) and they pull down 40.0 rebounds per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 20.1 times per game (15th in the nation) and they are turning it over 9.9 times per game. The Commodores have committed 21.1 fouls per contest and they shoot 74.6% from the charity stripe.

The Commodores are ranked 185th in college in PPG surrendered with 73.5. They are able to force 14.6 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 39.9% from the field (64th in Division 1). The Vanderbilt defense allows 32.8% on 3-pointers (62 of 189) and opponents are connecting on 77.4% of their foul shots. They concede 9.9 dimes and 31.3 rebounds every game, which ranks 23rd and 57th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take SMU

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