Southern Jaguars vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 12/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Southern Jaguars vs Baylor Bears

Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025

Location: Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX

TV: TNT

The Baylor Bears (7-2) are welcoming the Southern Jaguars (4-7) at Foster Pavilion on Sunday.

The Southern Jaguars faced off with California Baptist and took a loss by a score of 75-67 in their last game. Southern wrapped up the game having earned a 37.9% FG percentage (22 out of 58) and knocked down 8 out of their 23 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Jaguars made 15 of their 20 attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they earned 33 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 6 dimes for this contest while forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In terms of defending, Southern allowed the other team to go 36.7% from the field on 22 of 60 shooting. California Baptist totaled 14 dimes and had 6 steals for the matchup. On top of that, California Baptist collected 37 rebounds (13 offensive, 24 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. California Baptist ended up shooting 80.8% from the charity stripe by converting 21 of 26 shots. They converted 10 of their 33 tries from downtown. In regard to fouls, the Jaguars ended up finishing with 20 while California Baptist finished the game with 15 fouls.

Cam Amboree is a player who had an impact in the game. He scored 18 points on 6 out of 16 shooting. He played for 34 minutes played and also pulled down 5 rebounds. He walked away from this one shooting 37.5% from the floor and earned 3 dimes.

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Southern comes into this contest with a record of 4-7 on the year. They lose possession via turnover 13.9 times per game and as a team are committing 19.7 personal fouls every game. As a team, Southern is pulling in 37.9 boards per contest and has earned 173 assists so far this year, which is 149th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Jaguars are connecting on 37.2% on shots from downtown (92 of 247) and 67.6% from the free throw line. They have an average of 87.0 points per contest (47th in Division 1) while going 47.9% from the field.

On defense, the Jaguars are able to force 17.0 turnovers per game and they draw 18.9 personal fouls. They currently rank 256th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 165 surrendered this year. The Jaguars defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.6% (291 of 668) and they relinquish 36.6 rebounds per contest as a team. They surrender 33.2% from 3-point land and they rank 318th in D-1 in points per game allowed (80.0).

When they last stepped on the court, the Baylor Bears got the victory with a final of 97-67 when they played Norfolk State. The Bears were able to collect 26 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 39 in this matchup. They also turned it over 11 times, while getting 7 steals in this contest. Norfolk State was called for 20 fouls for the matchup which took the Bears to the charity stripe for a total of 21 tries. They were able to knock down 17 of them for a clip of 81.0%. In regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Baylor knocked down 8 of 21 attempts (38.1%). When the game finished, the Bears shot 36 for 68 from the field which had them shooting 52.9%. The Bears permitted Norfolk State to convert 23 out of their 60 tries from the floor which had them shooting 38.3% in this matchup. They went 25.0% from downtown via 3 of 12 and ended up shooting 18 out of 26 from the free throw line (69.2%). Regarding attacking the glass, Baylor permitted Norfolk State to collect 24 in all (5 on the offensive side).

Cameron Carr was important for the Bears for the matchup. He knocked down 9 out of 11 for this contest for a rate of 81.8%, and accumulated 5 rebounds. He had 19 points in his 29 mins on the court, but left the arena with no assists.

Baylor has a mark of 7-2 for the year. As an offense, the Bears are shooting 47.8% from the field, which is ranked 82nd in the nation. Baylor has scored 799 pts this year (88.8 per game) and they collect 39.0 rebounds per contest. They are dishing out assists 15.9 times per contest (111th in the nation) and they are turning it over 11.3 times per game. The Bears have committed 17.1 fouls every game and they shoot 74.4% from the charity stripe.

The Bears defensively are ranked 313th in college hoops in points given up per game with 79.4. They have forced 12.4 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.5% from the field (287th in Division 1). The Baylor defense allows 33.7% on 3-pointers (66 of 196) and opponents are making 78.2% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 12.9 dimes and 32.9 boards per game, which is ranked 148th and 106th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Southern

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