Southern Jaguars vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 12/10/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Southern Jaguars vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Location: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is the site where the Texas State Bobcats (6-5) will take on the Southern Jaguars (4-5) on Wednesday.

The Southern Jaguars took the court against Texas and went home with a loss by a final score of 95-69 in their last game. Southern wrapped up the game having earned a 40.7% FG percentage (24 out of 59) and made 5 of their 12 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Jaguars made 16 of their 25 attempts for a percentage of 64.0%. Pertaining to pulling down boards, they earned 24 with 10 of them being offensive. They also distributed 10 assists in the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Regarding defense, Southern allowed their opponent to shoot 56.9% from the field on 29 out of 51 shooting. Texas recorded 17 assists and had 5 steals for the game. Moreover, Texas pulled down 34 rebounds (9 offensive, 25 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Texas finished the game at 90.6% when shooting free throws by making 29 of 32 tries. They also converted 8 of their 20 shots from distance. In regard to fouls, the Jaguars left the arena with 24 while Texas finished the game with 23 fouls.

Malek Abdelgowad is one player who was a major factor in this game. He scored 17 points on 5 out of 7 shooting. He saw the court for 18 minutes and also grabbed 3 boards. He went 71.4% from the field but wasn't able to get a dime.

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Southern will enter this contest with a record of 4-5 this season. They have an average of 89.7 pts per game (21st in Division 1) while hitting 48.9% from the field. The Jaguars are hitting 37.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (74 of 198) and 66.8% from the charity stripe. As a team, Southern is grabbing 38.6 rebounds per game and has accumulated 157 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 82nd in the nation in terms of passing. They turn it over 13.3 times per game and as a group are committing 19.6 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Jaguars have forced 17.4 turnovers every game while drawing 19.6 personal fouls. They are surrendering 33.0% on three-point shots while they are 310th in D-1 in PPG from their opponents (79.9). The Jaguars defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 43.5% (241 of 554) and they concede 36.4 boards per contest as a group. They are ranked 241st in college hoops in giving up assists with 135 conceded this season.

The last time they took the court, the Texas State Bobcats walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 77-72 when they played Rice. The Bobcats earned 22 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 for the contest. They gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while recording 8 steals in the matchup. Rice committed 19 personal fouls for this contest which took the Bobcats to the free throw line for a total of 19 attempts. They were able to bury 14 of the free throws for a percentage of 73.7%. With regard to shooting from 3-point land, Texas State knocked down 4 out of 13 attempts (30.8%). In all, the Bobcats shot 27 out of 63 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.9%. The Bobcats permitted Rice to make 24 out of their 55 attempts from the field which had them at 43.6% in this game. They finished shooting 26.9% from 3-point land by shooting 7 of 26 and walked away from this one shooting 22 out of 29 from the charity stripe (75.9%). When it comes to attacking the glass, Texas State permitted Rice to get 34 overall (12 on the offensive glass).

Mark Drone ended up having an impact for the Bobcats in the matchup. He knocked down 8 out of 16 in the matchup giving him a rate of 50.0%, and accounted for 2 rebounds. He tallied 23 points in his 27 mins on the hardwood and tallied 1 assist in this matchup.

Texas State has a mark of 6-5 for the season. The Bobcats commit 17.6 fouls per contest and they hit 72.9% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 13.4 times per game (254th in Division 1) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.0 times per game. Texas State has scored 809 pts so far this season (73.5 per contest) and they pull down 38.6 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Bobcats are shooting 47.0% from the floor, which ranks them 109th in college hoops.

The Texas State defense allows 32.9% on shots from 3-point land (73 of 222) and their opponents are converting on 67.7% of their free throw attempts. They allow 10.8 assists and 30.4 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 43rd and 29th in college. The Bobcats on the defensive side of the court are 38th in D-1 in PPG given up with 65.5. They are forcing 14.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 41.0% from the field (86th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas State

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