St. Mary's Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions Prediction, 12/28/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Mary's Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions

Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025

Location: Gersten Pavilion in Los Angeles, CA

TV: ESPN+

Gersten Pavilion is the site where the Loyola Marymount Lions (9-4) will compete against the St. Mary's Gaels (11-2) on Sunday.

The St. Mary's Gaels took the court against UNI and notched a win by a score of 63-58 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Gaels finished with 11 and UNI accumulated 23 fouls. They made 7 out of their 20 shots from downtown. UNI shot 75.0% from the free throw line by making 3 of their 4 shots. On top of that, UNI had 22 rebounds (2 offensive, 20 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. UNI distributed 18 dimes and had 7 steals for the game. When it comes to defense, St. Mary's allowed their opponent to shoot 43.6% from the floor on 24 of 55 shooting. They also distributed 10 assists for the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In regard to rebounding, they collected 40 with 13 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Gaels buried 25 of 27 attempts for a rate of 92.6%. St. Mary's walked away from the contest having earned a 32.1% FG percentage (17 of 53) and converted 4 of their 20 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Paulius Murauskas is a player who had an impact for this game. He totaled 20 points on 6 of 18 shooting. He played 34 mins played and also snagged 7 rebounds. He finished shooting 33.3% from the floor but didn't record an assist.

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St. Mary's comes into this matchup with a record of 11-2 for the year. They turn it over 11.9 times per game and as a group they commit 16.2 fouls per game. As a unit, St. Mary's is grabbing 41.1 rebounds per game and has totaled 187 dimes this season, which has them ranked 164th in the nation in terms of passing. The Gaels are shooting 35.5% from downtown (92 of 259) and 80.9% from the free throw line. They have an average of 79.1 points per outing (144th in D-1) while connecting on 45.8% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Gaels are forcing their opponents into 11.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.8 fouls. They are 138th in the nation in allowing assists to the opposition with 160 conceded for the year. The Gaels defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 39.4% (304 of 772) and they surrender 29.5 rebounds per game as a team. They are relinquishing 29.6% from beyond the arc while they are 20th in college in PPG allowed (64.3).

In their last game, the Loyola Marymount Lions walked away with a victory by a final of 83-56 against Morgan State. When it comes to how they rebounded, Loyola Marymount allowed Morgan State to collect 31 in total (12 offensive). They shot 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 6 out of 18 and ended up going 12 out of 19 at the charity stripe (63.2%). The Lions allowed Morgan State to make 19 of 65 tries from the field which left them shooting 29.2% in the game. When this game wrapped up, the Lions shot 29 out of 54 from the field which gave them a percentage of 53.7%. In relation to 3-point shots, Loyola Marymount buried 8 out of 23 attempts (34.8%). They were able to knock down 17 of the free throws for a percentage of 60.7%. Morgan State committed 24 personal fouls in this game which got the Lions to the charity stripe for 28 tries. They also coughed up the ball 13 times, while getting 10 steals for this contest. The Lions were able to pull down 23 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 32 in this game.

Rodney Brown Jr. was important for the Lions in this contest. He racked up 23 points in his 28 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 dimes for the matchup. He knocked down 8 out of 14 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and accounted for 2 rebounds.

Loyola Marymount has a record of 9-4 for the campaign. As an offense, the Lions are connecting on 47.6% from the floor, which is 87th in the nation. Loyola Marymount has tallied 1,028 points for the campaign (79.1 per contest) and they snag 37.5 boards per game. They are earning an assist 15.7 times per game (116th in the nation) and they turn it over 12.8 times per game. The Lions have committed 17.9 fouls per game while shooting 65.3% from the free throw line.

The Loyola Marymount defense allows 29.3% on three-point shots (85 of 290) and opponents are making 70.8% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 12.1 dimes and 35.1 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 89th and 212th in college. The Lions defensively are ranked 35th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 66.1. They are able to force 13.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 38.6% from the field (23rd in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Loyola Marymount

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